汇率联动视角下人民币影响力研究  

Research on the Influence of RMB from the Perspective of Exchange Rate Linkage

作　　者：任鹏豪 廖泽芳 Ren Penghao;Liao Zefang(School of Economics and Management,Shanghai Ocean University)

机构地区：[1]上海海洋大学经济管理学院 [2]上海海洋大学

出　　处：《调研世界》2023年第2期47-56,共10页The World of Survey and Research

基　　金：国家社会科学基金后期资助项目“附加值贸易网络关系视角的中国对外贸易模式及转型升级研究”(18FJY022);教育部人文社会科学规划基金项目“网络演进视角下国际货币权力转移及人民币国际化对策研究”(18YJAGJW006);上海市哲学社会科学规划一般课题项目“上海市自贸区临港新片区国际离岸金融中心建设研究”(2020BGJ004)的资助。

摘　　要：本文基于汇率收益及联动关系,利用2010—2021年汇率数据,采用平面极大过滤图法构建全球货币汇率联动网络图,通过研究货币圈及核心货币得出全球货币圈演进动态特征:全球货币网络形成以美元、港币、澳大利亚元和欧元为核心的4个货币圈;新冠肺炎疫情对国际货币网络影响极大,人民币影响力下降。据此提出:应该深入推进人民币汇率市场化改革,积极参与国际多边合作组织以进一步提升人民币影响力。Based on the exchange rate income and linkage relationship,this paper uses the exchange rate data from 2010 to 2021,uses the planar maximally filtered graph to construct the global currency exchange rate linkage network diagram,studies the characteristics of the currency circle and the core currency,and draws the following conclusions through the research in the global currency circle from a dynamic perspective:the global currency network forms four currency circles with the US dollar,Hong Kong dollar,Australian dollar and euro as the core.With the great impact of Covid-19 on the international currency network,the influence of Renminbi has declined.Accordingly,it is proposed that we should further promote the market-oriented reform of the RMB exchange rate and actively participate in international organizations for multilateral cooperation to further enhance the influence of the RMB.

关 键 词：人民币国际化 汇率联动 平面极大过滤图 

分 类 号：F832.5[经济管理—金融学]