中国与周边国家地缘经济关系测度与时空格局演变分析  

Measurement of geo-economic relationship between China and neighboring countries and evolution of its spatiotemporal pattern

作　　者：梁茂林 彭邦文 骆华松[2,3,5] 洪菊花 LIANG Maolin;PENG Bangwen;LUO Huasong;HONG Juhua(Faculty of Geography,Yunnan Normal University,Kunming 650500,China;Collaborative Innovation Center for Geopolitical Setting of Southwest China and Borderland Development,Yunnan Normal University,Kunming 650500,China;"Research Center for Southwest China's Opening-up and Borderland Security"Yunnan Province New Cultivation Think Tank,Yunnan Normal University,Kunming 650500,China;Centre for Cambodia Studies,Yunnan Normal University,Kunming 650500,China;Graduate School,Yunnan Normal University,Kunming 650500,China;College of Economics and Trade,Hunan University of Technology and Business,Changsha 410205,China)

机构地区：[1]云南师范大学地理学部,昆明650500 [2]云南师范大学中国西南地缘环境与边疆发展协同创新中心,昆明650500 [3]云南师范大学“中国西南对外开放与边疆安全研究中心”云南省新型培育智库,昆明650500 [4]云南师范大学柬埔寨研究中心,昆明650500 [5]云南师范大学研究生院,昆明650500 [6]湖南工商大学经济与贸易学院,长沙410205

出　　处：《世界地理研究》2023年第1期43-53,共11页World Regional Studies

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41801120、41671131)。

摘　　要：基于修正的引力模型测算中国与周边国家的地缘经济关系,进而借助ArcGIS刻画地缘经济关系时空格局演化过程,以揭示其总体规律与特征。结果表明:(1)中国与周边国家地缘经济关系总体呈现出波动上升的态势,但国别间差异显著且逐渐扩大,并以2009年与2016年为转折点,将中国与周边国家双边地缘经济关系划分成缓慢发展期(2001—2008年)、平稳增长期(2009—2015年)和快速增长期(2016—2019年);(2)地缘经济关系总体上呈现东高西低的空间格局,即中国与东亚地区的日本和韩国为中-高至高地缘经济关系值,与西亚、南亚大多数周边国家主要为低至中-低地缘经济关系值。地缘经济关系格局演进的影响因素包括国际地缘环境、地缘经济利益、地缘区位、经济规模、资源要素禀赋、地缘文化等。Based on the revised gravity model,this paper measured the geo-economic relation‐ship between China and neighboring countries,then used ArcGIS and Ai to describe the evolu‐tion of the geo-economic relationship in time and space to reveal its overall laws and characteris‐tics.The results show that:(1)The overall geo-economic relationship between China and neigh‐boring countries shows a trend of rising volatility,but the differences between countries are sig‐nificant and gradually expanding.Taking 2009 and 2016 as the trough turning period,the bilater‐al geo-economic relations can be divided into slow development period(2001-2008),steady growth period(2009-2015)and rapid growth period(2016-2019);(2)The geo-economic relation‐ship between China and neighboring countries generally showed a spatial pattern of high east and low west,that is,China and Japan and South Korea in East Asia are medium-high to high geo-economic relations,the value is mainly low to medium-low geo-economic relationship with most neighboring countries in West and South Asia.Factors in the evolution of the pattern of geo-economic relations include international geo-environment,geo-economic benefits,geo-loca‐tion,economic scale and resource endowments,geo-culture,etc.

关 键 词：地缘经济关系 时空格局 中国 周边国家 引力模型 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济] F113