印度“印太”政策的演变特征与成效评估  

The Evolutionary Characteristics and Effectiveness Evaluation of India's“Indo-Pacific”Policy

作　　者：万佳 Wan Jia

机构地区：[1]武汉大学中国边界与海洋研究院

出　　处：《印度洋经济体研究》2023年第1期32-49,152,153,共20页Indian Ocean Economic and Political Review

基　　金：中国历史研究院学术基金项目“‘一带一路’视阈下中国与南亚国家关系史研究”(项目批准号:LSYZD2019014)的阶段性成果。

摘　　要：印版“印太”概念经历了由模糊到清晰、由争论到统一的演绎过程,直至莫迪总理在香格里拉对话会上予以完整的政策阐述。莫迪政府两届任期的“印太”政策经历了由“自由”“开放”走向“同盟化”与“对抗”之路。本文回溯了近年来印度政府关于“印太”政策的实践,分析了其成效与局限性。受印度战略能力与外交自主传统的限制,加之“第三方因素”的制衡,印版“印太政策”仍处于动态的建构过程之中。尽管印度的“印太”政策尚在摸索中,但其对中印双边关系、中国周边安全环境乃至亚洲地缘格局的负面影响业已显现,不可不察。The Indian concept of“Indo-Pacific”has experienced a deductive process from vagueness to clarity,from debate to consensus,until finally Prime Minister Modi gave a complete policy elaboration at the Shangri-La Dialogue.In general,the“Indo-Pacific”policy of the Modi government has experienced a path from“freedom”and“openness”to“alliance”and“confrontation”.This article reviews the practice,effectiveness and limitations of Indian government's“Indo-Pacific”policy in recent years.Restricted by India's strategic capabilities and the tradition of its diplomatic autonomy,coupled with the balance behavior from“third party”,the Indian“Indo-Pacific policy”is still in a dynamic process of construction.Although India's“Indo-Pacific”policy is still in the process of exploration,its negative impact on the order of the Indo-Pacific region,relations between major powers,and China's surrounding security environment has already emerged,and close attention must be paid to this phenome-non.

关 键 词：莫迪政府 印太政策 印美关系 中印关系 

分 类 号：D835.1[政治法律—政治学]