基于拓展计划行为理论的违规驾驶行为建模  

Modeling of Illegal Driving Behavior Based on Extended Theory of Planned Behavior

作　　者：王意东 全洪钰 王文迪 何太碧 WANG Yidong;QUAN Hongyu;WANG Wendi;HE Taibi(School of Automobile&Transportation,Xihua University,Chengdu 610039,China;Key Laboratory of Sichuan Provincial Vehicle Measurement,Control and Safety,Chengdu 610039,China;School of Automobile&Transportation,Chengdu Technological University,Chengdu 611730,China)

机构地区：[1]西华大学汽车与交通学院,四川成都610039 [2]汽车测控与安全四川省重点实验室,四川成都610039 [3]成都工业学院汽车与交通学院,四川成都611730

出　　处：《汽车实用技术》2023年第3期191-197,共7页Automobile Applied Technology

基　　金：四川省创新创业项目(S202010650103)。

摘　　要：为探究机动车驾驶员违规驾驶行为机理及其对后续驾驶行为的影响,编制了符合我国驾驶环境和驾驶特征的问卷量表,提炼了3个违规驾驶行为因子:习惯性违规(I1)、危险性违规(I2)、疏忽性违规(I3)。在计划行为理论的基础上增加了“违规驾驶行为”“后续驾驶行为”和“执行意向”三个变量,构建了基于拓展计划行为理论(EX-TPB)的违规驾驶行为结构方程模型。结果表明,该模型对分析违规驾驶行为的影响机理具有很好的解释能力和预测能力;行为态度(AT)和主观规范(SN)对驾驶员安全驾驶行为意向的影响不显著,知觉行为控制(PBC)与违规驾驶行为(IDB)对执行后续安全驾驶行为意向(BI)有正向显著影响,执行意向(EI)是行为意向转化为实际行为的中介变量,并且提升了对后续安全驾驶行为的解释力;经驾驶信息差异性分析,可知实际驾龄越高的驾驶员在习惯性违规和疏忽性违规方面有显著差异,每周驾驶频率越高的驾驶员更容易导致习惯性违规和疏忽性违规,1年内发生3次及以上违规被罚的驾驶员对被罚0~2次的驾驶员有更高的疏忽性违规倾向。In order to study the mechanism of motor vehicle drivers'illegal driving behavior and its impact on subsequent driving behavior,combined with China's current driving environment,a questionnaire conforming to China's driving environment and driving characteristics is compiled,and three illegal driving behavior factors are refined:habitual violation(I1),dangerous violation(I2)and negligent violation(I3).On the basis of planned behavior theory,three variables of“execution intention”,“subsequent driving behavior”and“follow-up driving behavior scale”are added,and a structural equation model of illegal driving behavior based on extended theory of planned behavior(EX-TPB)is constructed.The results show that:the model has good explanatory ability and predictive ability for analyzing illegal driving behavior.Behavioral attitude(AT)and subjective norm(SN)have no significant influence on drivers'behavioral intention to execute safe driving.Both perceived behavioral control(PBC)and illegal driving behavior(IDB)have a positive effect on the intention to execute subsequent safe driving behaviors,and the results are significant.Safe driving behavior intention(BI)has positive influence on subsequent safe driving behavior.Executive intention(EI)is the intermediary variable of behavioral intention into actual behavior,and improves the explanatory power of subsequent safe driving behavior;the difference by the driving of information analysis shows that the higher the actual driving experience of the pilot in the habitual violations and negligence sexual abuses have significant differences,weekly driving frequency,the higher the drivers are more likely to lead to habitual violations and negligent violation,is punished for violation occurred three times in a year or more drivers to be fined 0 to 2 times the driver has a higher tendency of negligence sexual violation.

关 键 词：交通安全 违规驾驶行为 EX-TPB 结构方程模型 执行意向 驾驶行为矫正 

分 类 号：X951[环境科学与工程—安全科学]