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作 者:余汝艺 梁留科[1,2] YU Ru-yi;LIANG Liu-ke(Luoyang Normal University County Tourism Research Base of China Tourism Research Institute,Luoyang 471022,China;Henan University Key Research Institute of Yellow River Civilization and Sustainable Development,Henan University,Kaifeng 475001,China)
机构地区:[1]洛阳师范学院中国旅游研究院县域旅游研究基地,河南洛阳471022 [2]河南大学黄河文明与可持续发展研究中心,河南开封475001
出 处:《资源开发与市场》2023年第2期250-256,共7页Resource Development & Market
基 金:国家自然科学基金面上项目(编号:42071198);河南省软科学研究项目(编号:222400410156、212400410363)。
摘 要:生计风险及管理是可持续科学研究的重要领域,也是巩固脱贫攻坚成果的关键。本文以伏牛山区旅游脱贫县—栾川为案例地,使用农户调研数据,采用典型相关、logistic回归等方法,考察旅游农户风险及管理策略。结果发现:①后脱贫时代,旅游农户面临主要风险为市场竞争和市场需求的变化;②生计资产影响农户对长、短期风险的敏感性,并进一步对应于发展适应性和被动响应性风险管理策略;③生计风险与管理策略之间表现为特定压力—响应关系。研究的政策含义为:应强化知识、信息、心理等新兴资产建设;在增进农户与外部社会资本衔接的过程中,推动本地社会资本的复兴;对于高资产和低资产农户,应分别增进知识、就业信息的供给,以推动农户生计有序转型;通过社区旅游发展模式、政府支农政策等结构环境的创新,推动农户生产组织方式的企业化转型,是破解农户生计不确定性、增进农户生计可持续性的重要机制。Livelihood risk and its management is an important research field of sustainable science,and also the key to consolidate the achievements of poverty alleviation.This paper took Luanchuan,a tourism poverty relief county in Funiu Mountain Area,as a case,and used farmer data and multiple methods(e.g.,canonical correlation,logistic regression)to examine the risk and management strategies of tourism farmers.The results showed that:①Market competition and demand variation were the main livelihood risks for tourism smallholders.②Livelihood assets affected farmers'sensitivity to long-term and short-term risks,and further corresponded to long-term adaptability and short-term passive risk management strategies.③It showed a pressure-response relationship between livelihood risks and management strategy.The policy implications were as follows:Government should strengthen the construction of knowledge,information,psychology and other emerging assets;Enhancing the connection between farmers and external social capital was the main way to promote the modernization of farmers'livelihoods;For smallholders with high and low asset,the supply of knowledge and employment information should be increased respectively to promote the orderly livelihood transformation;It was an important mechanism to improve the sustainability of farmers'livelihood to promote the entrepreneurial transformation of farmers'production and organization.
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