资源枯竭型城市产业转型及其经济韧性——以湖北省大冶市为例  

Research on industrial transformation and its economic resilience in resource-exhausted cities: A case study of Daye city, Hubei province

作　　者：朱媛媛[1,2] 罗源 陈京[1,2] 蒋子龙 ZHU Yuan-yuan;LUO Yuan;CHEN Jing;JIANG Zi-long(Key Laboratory of Geographic Process Analysis&Simulation Hubei Province,Central China Normal University,Wuhan 430079,China;Academy of Wuhan Metropolitan Area,Hubei Development and Reform Commission&Central China Normal University,Wuhan 430079,China)

机构地区：[1]华中师范大学地理过程分析与模拟湖北省重点实验室,武汉430079 [2]湖北省发展和改革委员会/华中师范大学武汉城市圈研究院,武汉430079

出　　处：《自然资源学报》2023年第1期73-90,共18页Journal of Natural Resources

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(42071170,42001136,42001134)。

摘　　要：产业转型是资源枯竭型城市面临的重要发展问题,探究资源枯竭型城市产业转型及其经济韧性的演化机制,对实现城市高质量发展具有重要意义。从演化经济韧性视角出发,以湖北省大冶市为例,构建资源枯竭型城市经济韧性评价指标体系,采取熵值法和PLS偏最小二乘法,定量揭示2000—2019年湖北省大冶市产业转型过程中经济韧性的演化特征及驱动机制。结果显示:(1)研究区经济韧性经历了衰退适应、抵御恢复、响应提升的演化阶段,分别对应其经济衰退转变期(2000—2009年)、发展恢复期(2010—2014年)、高效提升期(2015—2019年),经济韧性水平呈现出“缓慢→快速”的上升态势。(2)2000—2019年研究区经济韧性演化的驱动因子由产业结构转变和创新水平提升转向多要素共同推动,其中居民收入、市场规模、政府调控能力、产业技术水平等因子是推进研究区经济韧性演进的关键因素。(3)产业多元化转型是研究区经济韧性提升的直接动力,以产业相关多样化为传导路径,在多要素驱动下研究区向更高层次的城市生命阶段演进。当压力要素消解、城市状态调整、响应方式优化时,经济韧性将通过激活产业要素、均衡化拓展驱动力来推动产业的“路径突破”,进而演化为更高水平状态,以此促进资源枯竭型城市的高质量发展。Industrial transformation is an important development problem faced by resourceexhausted cities, and exploring the evolutionary mechanisms of industrial transformation and its economic resilience in resources-exhausted cities is of great significance to realize highquality urban development. From the perspective of evolutionary economic resilience, taking Daye city of Hubei province as an example, this paper constructed an evaluation index system of economic resilience in resource-exhausted cities, and the entropy value method and partial least squares(PLS) are adopted to quantitatively reveal the evolutionary characteristics and driving mechanisms of economic resilience during the industrial transformation of Daye city from 2000 to 2019. The results showed that:(1) The economic resilience of the study area had undergone the evolutionary stages of recession adaptation, resistance to recovery, and response improvement, which corresponded to the study area’s economic recession transition period(2000-2009), development recovery period(2010-2014), and efficient improvement period(2015-2019), and the level of economic resilience showed a "slow to fast" rising trend.(2) From 2000 to 2019, the driving factors of the evolution of economic resilience in the study area changed from the transformation of industrial structure and the improvement of innovation level to multi-factors. Among them, residents’ income, market scale, government regulation ability, industrial technology level are the key factors to promote the evolution of economic resilience in the study area.(3) The transformation of industrial diversification is the direct driving force for the improvement of economic resilience in the study area, and the evolution of the study area to a higher level of urban life stage is driven by multiple factors.When the pressure factor is eliminated, the urban state is adjusted and the response mode is optimized, the economic resilience will promote the "path breakthrough" of the industry by activating the industrial fac

关 键 词：资源枯竭型城市 产业多样化 产业转型 经济韧性 大冶市 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]