中国核能现代化发展战略  

Research on development strategy of China nuclear energy modernization

作　　者：叶奇蓁 苏罡 黄文 杨勇[4] 张东辉[4] YE Qizhen;SU Gang;HUANG Wen;YANG Yong;ZHANG Donghui(China Nuclear Power Engineering Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100822,China;China National Nuclear Corporation Beijing 100840,China;China International Engineering Consulting Corporation,Beijing 100048,China;China Institute of Atomic Energy,Beijing 102413,China)

机构地区：[1]中国核工业集团有限公司,北京100822 [2]中国核电工程有限公司,北京100840 [3]中国国际工程咨询有限公司,北京100048 [4]中国原子能科学研究院,北京102413

出　　处：《科技导报》2022年第24期20-30,共11页Science & Technology Review

基　　金：中国工程院“能源战略(2035)”咨询项目(2019-ZD-20)。

摘　　要：中国自主三代核电品牌开发不断取得突破、先进核能系统创新稳步持续推进,核能对中国能源清洁低碳转型和整体创新发展的战略支撑作用已充分体现。面对党中央和国务院对中国能源中长期发展的重大战略决策,面向2035年,对标全球技术发展趋势,主动应对复杂国际形势,紧密结合核能与经济社会发展及其能源供应需求、构建清洁低碳安全高效的能源体系和构建新能源占比逐渐提高的新型电力系统(“两个构建”)的发展路径,开展能源领域核能发展战略的多种情景研究,依据行业发展规律,总结提出中国核能产业现代化发展的标志和路径建议。重点围绕行业内部在实现零碳规模化发展、核能引领科技创新、实现核燃料闭式循环和长远发展等方面的发展趋势分析,提出核能现代化发展战略目标:在新型电力系统安全稳定运行、拓展核能供应体系多样化保障城镇化、核能工艺热助力能源消费领域实现能效提升、核能制氢和构建低碳复合能源系统促进能源向资源转型等领域进行发展情景预测,力争用15年左右的时间基本实现核能产业现代化,并在更长时间内支撑中国“双碳”等战略目标实现。Breakthroughs have been made in the development of China's independent third generation nuclear power brand and innovation of advanced nuclear energy systems has been steadily and continuously promoted.The strategic role of nuclear energy in supporting China's clean and low-carbon energy transformation and overall innovative development has been fully demonstrated.Faced with the major strategic decisions made by the CPC Central Committee and the State Council on China's energy development in the medium and long term,with a view to 2035,the nuclear energy industry should further utilize its own advantages to meet economic and social development and its energy supply needs,to build a clean,low-carbon,safe and efficient energy system and to build a new power system with new energy as the main body("two constructions"),effectively benchmarking the global technology development trend,actively responding to the complex international situation,adopting a strategic scenario study,and proposing the symbol&path suggestion of the modernization of nuclear energy industry.Focusing on the analysis of the development trends of the industry in terms of realizing zero-carbon scale development,nuclear energy leading scientific and technological innovation,realizing nuclear fuel closed cycle and long term development,the strategic goals of nuclear energy modernization development are put forward.Meanwhile,development scenarios are forecast in such fields as safe and stable operation of new power system,diversification of nuc lear energy supply system for ensuring urbanization,energy efficiency improvement in the field of energy consumption assisted by nuclear energy process heat,hydrogen production from nuclear energy and the construction of low-carbon hybrid energy system for promoting the transformation from energy to resources,and it is proposed to spend about 15 years to realize the modernization of nuclear energy,in a long period of time to support the realization of the"emission peak&carbon neutrality"goal.

关 键 词：“双碳” 核能现代化 核电 核能供热 核能制氢 复合能源体系 

分 类 号：F426.23[经济管理—产业经济]