贸易摩擦的成因、效应和应对策略  

Causes,Effects and Countermeasures of Trade Friction

作　　者：王孝松[1] 陈燕 WANG Xiaosong;CHEN Yan(School of Economics,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China)

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学经济学院,北京100872

出　　处：《齐鲁学刊》2023年第1期117-132,共16页Qilu Journal

基　　金：教育部哲学社会科学研究专项(党的二十大精神研究)“提升国际循环质量和对外开放水平研究”。

摘　　要：经典的国际贸易理论认为自由贸易能够最大限度地提高各国的福利水平,然而在现实中,贸易保护主义大行其道。近年来,新的贸易摩擦形式不断涌现,虽然其类型和成因多种多样,但其本质都是贸易保护主义。通过梳理国内外关于贸易摩擦的主要文献,我们发现:对贸易摩擦的分析应充分考虑贸易摩擦形式的多样化,未来需要在一个统一的框架下综合考察贸易摩擦的福利效应;企业异质性贸易理论的发展为分析贸易政策的内生机制提供了新的思路,但关于企业异质性的分析需要持续推进;使用异质性企业与贸易政策模型解释中国对外贸易政策的制订和微观影响具有重要的现实意义,而国内在该领域的理论与经验研究还需进一步丰富;未来需要重点关注如何在大国博弈的背景下应对贸易摩擦,从而推进中国对外贸易高质量发展。The classical international trade theory believes that free trade can maximize the welfare of countries.However,trade protectionism prevails in reality.In recent years,new forms of trade frictions have emerged.Although their types and causes differ,their essence is trade protectionism.By reviewing the main literature on trade friction,this paper finds that the analysis of trade friction should fully consider the diversification of trade frictions,and the welfare effect of trade friction needs to be comprehensively investigated under a unified framework in the future.The development of trade theory with firm heterogeneity provides a new way to analyze the endogenous mechanism of trade policy,but the analysis of firm heterogeneity needs to be advanced.It is of great practical significance to use the heterogeneous firm and trade policy model to explain the formulation and micro impact of China’s foreign trade policy,while domestic theoretical and empirical research in this field needs to be further enriched.In the future,we need to focus on how to deal with trade frictions in the context of the interaction of big powers,so as to promote the high-quality development of China’s foreign trade.

关 键 词：贸易摩擦 决策机制 中美贸易关系 福利效应 

分 类 号：F741[经济管理—国际贸易]