环境规制能否助推中国工业高质量发展?——基于动态空间Durbin模型的实证研究  

Can Environmental Regulation Boost the High-quality Development of Chinese Industry?An Empirical Study Based on Dynamic Spatial Durbin Model

作　　者：李莉莉 叶阿忠 Li Lili;Ye Azhong(School of Economics and Management,Fuzhou University,Fuzhou 350108,China)

机构地区：[1]福州大学经济与管理学院,福州350108

出　　处：《技术经济》2022年第12期99-110,共12页Journal of Technology Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金“半参数门限空间滞后模型理论研究及其应用”(72073030)。

摘　　要：经济新常态下,通过制定合理的环境规制政策引导技术创新对推动工业高质量发展具有重要意义。本文基于2007—2019年中国30个省份数据(因数据缺失,不包括西藏和港澳台地区),借助动态空间Durbin模型及半参数空间Durbin模型系统考察了环境规制对工业高质量发展的影响。研究发现:中国工业高质量发展存在时间惯性和空间溢出性;环境规制对工业高质量发展的影响呈“U”型,并存在地区异质性和空间溢出效应;同时,环境规制对工业高质量发展具有产业结构调节效应和技术进步调节效应。因此,地方政府有必要科学设置环境规制强度,通过“创新补偿效应”引导经济发展动力向技术驱动和产业结构优化转变,加强跨区域企业技术研发交流合作,创新区域工业高质量发展协同机制。Under the new normal of the economy,it is of great significance to guide the development of science and technology and promote the high-quality development of the industry through formulating reasonable environmental regulation policies.Based on the data of 30 provinces in China from 2007 to 2019(Due to the lack of data,the statistical data mentioned here do not include Hong Kong Special Administrative Region,Macao Special Administrative Region and Taiwan Province.),the impact of environmental regulation on the development of high-quality industry was systematically examined with the help of dynamic spatial Durbin model and semi-parametric spatial Durbin model.The results show that there are temporal inertia and spatial spillovers in high-quality industrial development.The impact of environmental regulation on high-quality industrial development is U-shaped,and there are regional heterogeneity and spatial spillover effects.Environmental regulation has the adjustment effect of industrial structure and technological progress on the high-quality development of industry.Therefore,it is necessary for local governments to scientifically set the intensity of environmental regulation and guide the transformation of economic development momentum to technology-driven and industrial structure optimization through the“innovation compensation effect”.Local governments should also strengthen cross-regional exchanges on technology research and development and innovate coordination mechanisms for high-quality development of regional industries.

关 键 词：环境规制 工业高质量发展 动态空间Durbin模型 半参数空间Durbin模型 

分 类 号：F062.9[经济管理—政治经济学]