基于智能代理人的舰船航渡策略仿真优化方法  

Simulation method of warship sailing strategy optimization based on intelligent agent

作　　者：吕建伟[1] 熊梓皓 谢宗仁 徐一帆 Lü Jian-wei;XIONG Zi-hao;XIE Zong-ren;XU Yi-fan(Dept.of Management Engineering and Equipment Economics,Naval Univ.of Engineering,Wuhan 430033,China;Strategic Assessment and Consulting Center,Academy of Military Sciences,Beijing 100091,China)

机构地区：[1]海军工程大学管理工程与装备经济系,武汉430033 [2]军事科学院战略评估咨询中心,北京100091

出　　处：《海军工程大学学报》2022年第6期55-60,66,共7页Journal of Naval University of Engineering

基　　金：博士后科学研究基金资助项目(2020M653925)。

摘　　要：任务成功率是衡量舰船装备效能的重要标准,对任务成功性优化可以更好地发挥装备效能。因此,对舰船航渡过程中设备运行状态和系统整体状态要求进行了分析,针对现有航渡策略中没有考虑后续任务过程中可能出现的设备故障、容易导致后续任务无法按时完成的缺点,提出了基于智能代理人模型的舰船航渡优化策略,并考虑了动力系统的多状态性能输出等因素,实现了舰船在航渡过程中航速的实时、动态的优化调整。研究结果表明:在一定条件下,使用该优化策略可以降低未按时到达率,从而有效提高舰船任务成功率。Mission success ratio is an important criterion to measure the effectiveness of warship′s equipment,and optimizing mission success can improve equipment effectiveness.The requirements of equipment operation status and overall system status during the warship′s sailing process were analyzed.In view of the shortcomings that the existing sailing strategy does not consider the equipment faults that may occur during the subsequent tasks,which may lead to the subsequent tasks not being completed on time,the warship′s optimization sailing strategy based on the intelligent agent model was proposed.The multi-state performance output of the propulsion system and other factors were considered to achieve real-time and dynamic optimization adjustment of the speed during the sailing.The results show that,under certain conditions,the optimization strategy can reduce the not arriving on time ratio,thus effectively improving the ship mission success ratio.

关 键 词：舰船 任务成功率 航渡策略优化 智能代理人 

分 类 号：U674.7[交通运输工程—船舶及航道工程] E837[交通运输工程—船舶与海洋工程]