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作 者:刘畅 LIU Chang(Department for Developing Countries Studies,China Institute of International Studies)
机构地区:[1]中国国际问题研究院发展中国家研究所,北京100005
出 处:《阿拉伯世界研究》2022年第6期133-154,158,共23页Arab World Studies
摘 要:近年来,海湾阿拉伯国家纷纷提出各自的绿色发展战略,普遍制定了气候治理、能源转型等系统行动规划,相关建设项目取得一定成效。海湾阿拉伯国家开启绿色发展之路具有多重考量,既是其能源转型与经济多元化愿景的题中之义,也是其建构新型社会契约的必然要求,同时也为这些国家在国际竞争中赢得发展先机。受技术制约等基础性困难、传统化石能源经济模式惯性、乌克兰危机长期化等因素的影响,未来海湾阿拉伯国家绿色发展将面临不少挑战。但从长远来看,全球能源绿色低碳化转型将是主流趋势,海湾地缘经济与政治形势总体向好,乌克兰危机潜藏绿色转型新萌芽,这些因素都将给海湾绿色发展带来新机遇。In recent years,Gulf states have put forward their own green development strategies and formulated systematic action plans on climate governance and energy transformation,turns out relevant construction projects have achieved certain results.The green development path of the Gulf states is based on multiple considerations,for it is not only a part of their vision of energy transformation and economic diversification,but also a necessary requirement for the construction of a new social contract,and also a way for these countries to grasp the development opportunities in international competition.Due to some fundamental difficulties such as technological restrictions,the inertia of the traditional fossil energy economic model,and the continuing Ukrainian Crisis,the prospect of green development in Gulf states still faces diverse challenges.But in the long run,the green-andlow-carbon global energy transformation will still be the mainstream trend,the overall geoeconomics and geopolitical situations in the Gulf region are getting better,and new shoots of green transition are hidden in the Ukrainian Crisis.All of these factors will bring new opportunities to the green development in Gulf states.
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