福格尔计量经济史探析  

An Exploration of Fogel’s Econometric History

作　　者：贺一帆 He Yifan(School of Economics,Shenzhen University,Shenzhen Guangdong 518060)

机构地区：[1]深圳大学经济学院,广东深圳518060

出　　处：《现代工业经济和信息化》2022年第12期217-219,共3页Modern Industrial Economy and Informationization

摘　　要：美国新经济史学的代表人物福格尔以其在计量经济史领域的杰出成就荣获1993年诺贝尔经济学奖。他藉以经济史的新理论及数理工具来重新诠释奴隶制,运用反事实论证方法发掘铁路对经济增长的作用,铸造了计量史学领域的研究范式。梳理了福格尔的主要研究成果和方法论,旨在藉以介绍国外学界对于计量史学方法的争论,展示统计学与经济史跨学科融合的局限,凸显福格尔计量史学的借鉴意义。Fogel,a representative figure of the new American economic history,was awarded the 1993 Nobel Prize in Economics for his outstanding achievements in the field of econometric history. He reinterpreted slavery through new theories of economic history and mathematical tools,and used counterfactual arguments to explore the role of railroads in economic growth,forging a research paradigm in the field of econometric history. The main research results and methodology of Fogel’s work are presented in order to introduce the debate on the methodology of econometric historiography in foreign academia,to show the limits of the interdisciplinary integration of statistics and economic history,and to highlight the significance of Fogel’s econometric historiography.

关 键 词：福格尔 计量史学 经济史 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济]