基于ATHEANA-STPA混合方法的航空人为因素分析  

Analysis of aviation human factors based on ATHEANA-STPA hybrid method

作　　者：牛军锋[1] 甘旭升[2] 魏潇龙 王明华[2] NIU Junfeng;GAN Xusheng;WEI Xiaolong;WANG Minghua(Department of Management Technology,Xijing University,Xi’an 710123,China;College of Air Traffic Control and Navigation,Air Force Engineering University,Xi’an 710051,China)

机构地区：[1]西京学院管理技术系,西安710231 [2]空军工程大学空管领航学院,西安710051

出　　处：《航空工程进展》2023年第1期81-89,共9页Advances in Aeronautical Science and Engineering

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目(21AGL030)。

摘　　要：传统人为因素失误分析技术(ATHEANA)由于缺乏系统化的分析方法,对不安全控制行为(UA)和迫使失误情景(EFC)的识别不充分,因此提出人为因素失误分析技术—系统理论过程分析(ATHEANA-STPA)混合方法对航空人为因素展开分析。基于人为因素失误预测技术(THERP)方法构建系统控制模型,识别UA和与其关联的致因因素;根据各类致因因素的关联性构建EFC,基于THERP提供的基础人为误差数据对UA的触发概率进行评估;基于瓦解EFC的思想制定风险管控措施,通过一起航空安全事故的分析应用验证ATHEANA-STPA混合方法的有效性。结果表明:本文提出的ATHEANA-STPA混合方法所形成的结论能够对风险管控起到更为具体的指导作用。Due to the lack of systematic analysis methods,the traditional a technique for human error analysis(ATHEANA)does not fully identify unsafe action(UA)and error forcing context(EFC).Therefore,a hybrid method of ATHEANA-STPA(systems-theorctic process analysis)is proposed to analyze aviation human factors.The system control model is constructed based on technique for human error rate prediction(THERP)method to identify UA and its associated causal factors.EFC is constructed according to the correlation of various causal factors.The probability of UA is evaluated based on the basic human error data provided by THERP.The risk control measures are formulated based on the idea of disintegrating EFC.Through the analysis of an aviation safety event,the effectiveness of ATHEANA-STPA method is verified.The results show that the analysis conclusion of proposed ATHEANA-STPA hybrid method can play a more specific guiding role in risk management.

关 键 词：安全工程技术 ATHEANA STPA 人为因素 飞行安全 

分 类 号：V328[航空宇航科学与技术—人机与环境工程] TB553[理学—物理]