搬迁扶贫对代际流动的长期影响  

The Long-run Effects of Poverty Alleviation Resettlement on Intergenerational Mobility

作　　者：卢冲 张吉鹏 LU Chong;ZHANG Jipeng(Southwestern University of Finance and Economics;Shandong University)

机构地区：[1]西南财经大学社会发展研究院 [2]山东大学经济学院,250100

出　　处：《经济学（季刊）》2023年第1期18-36,共19页China Economic Quarterly

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(72173098);招商局慈善基金会、中国人口福利基金会、上海交通大学联合发起的青年学者资助计划之“何为而治——中国当代社会治理研究”项目资助。

摘　　要：本文基于1994年的一个准自然实验和跨长时期的追溯数据,分析了搬迁扶贫对代际流动的长期影响。我们发现,搬迁加速了代际流动;提高了中低收入阶层代际向上流动的概率和收入排序;促进了高收入阶层代际向下流动;对于中等收入群体的影响呈现向上和向下的两级分化。搬迁扶贫对女性和迁移距离较远的中低收入群体的影响更大。搬迁导致的人力资本和社会资本变化是影响代际流动的重要机制。Using a quasi-natural experiment in 1994, we investigate the long-run effects of poverty alleviation resettlement on intergenerational mobility. We find that the resettlement has increased the probability of upward mobility for low-and middle-income groups. The impact on girls is significantly bigger than that on boys. The impact on low-and middle-income groups is bigger for the resettlement with longer distance. However, the resettlement significantly decreases the income ranking of high-income group and has a diverging effect on the middle-income group. Human capital and social capital changes induced by the resettlement are possible channels that affect intergenerational mobility.

关 键 词：搬迁扶贫 代际流动 共同富裕 

分 类 号：F323.8[经济管理—产业经济] D632.4[政治法律—政治学]