Mainstreaming the Full ENSO:Linking Present Weather and Future Climate  

作　　者：Michael H.Glantz Lino Naranjo-Diaz Qian Ye Gregory E.Pierce 

机构地区：[1]Consortium for Capacity Building(CCB),University of Colorado Boulder,Boulder,CO 80301,USA [2]Integrated Risk Governance Program,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China

出　　处：《International Journal of Disaster Risk Science》2022年第6期829-841,共13页国际灾害风险科学学报（英文版）

摘　　要：In this article we propose that all countries that are striving to become a Weather-Ready Nation(WRN)would beneft greatly from including El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)-related research findings into their decision-making processes,not only when an El Niño or a La Niña forecast has been issued quasi-periodically.For an aspiring WRN,to beneft from ENSO information,such as disruptive or benefcial changes that could be foreseeably expected to occur in seasonal fow and in sub-seasonal hydrometeorological anomalies,requires its continuous mainstreaming about the status of the ENSO process into a WRN’s decision-making activities.The ENSO process provides a bridge between sub-seasonal weather anomalies and a sub-decadal climate phenomenon as well as a bridge between coping with weather extremes today and preparing for climate change-related hydrometeorological hazards in the future.ENSO extremes every few years provide a chance to evaluate a nation’s strategic and tactical responses to hydrometeorological hazard forecasts and disasters.Each successive ENSO extreme and its Neutral phase tests previously designed best practices.Involvement of today’s youth and young professionals on climate,water,and weather issues has been increasing and will do so in coming decades.Shifting awareness and attention to ENSO and away from ENSO extremes is crucial.The heightened urgency for understanding the full ENSO“cycle”especially by youth and young professionals today is because they will soon be in professional positions that enable them to advise decision makers about climate policy issues.Their understanding of the ENSO cycle is critically needed,as global warming is expected to continue to increase for the rest of the twentyfrst century.

关 键 词：ENSO WRN Hydromet Climate change Young professionals 

分 类 号：P467[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]