考虑伤情随机恶化的政企应急物资采购决策研究  

Research on Government-enterprise Emergency Material Procurement Decision-making Considering Randomly Worsens in Injury Conditions

作　　者：王建华 赵俊明 WANG Jianhua;ZHAO Junming(Business School,Jiangnan University,Wuxi 214122,China)

机构地区：[1]江南大学商学院,江苏无锡214122

出　　处：《物流科技》2023年第5期26-31,共6页Logistics Sci-Tech

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“基于跨组织知识集成的网络型产学研协调机制研究”(19FGLB031);江苏自然科学基金项目“基于超冲突均衡的复杂装备协同研制主体利益冲突消解方法与模型技术研究”(BK20150157)。

摘　　要：突发事件中灾民伤情是一定的,因此考虑灾民伤情状态随机恶化情形下应急物资采购定价策略。同时,引入数量柔性契约和Markov链,针对不同数量考虑不同补贴,构建基于数量柔性契约的应急物资采购模型,分析政企达成合作条件和最优决策策略。运用Matlab进行仿真实验验证模型的有效性,对不同变量的敏感性分析,得出重要管理启示。结果表明:考虑伤情随机变化的政企联合应急物资采购定价模型比分散非合作决策具有更强的稳定性和优化效果,使得政府的成本、企业的利润都得到一定的改善,同时也使得应急物资采购决策更具现实意义。Therefore,the pricing strategy of emergency materials purchase under the condition of random deterioration of victims’condition is considered.At the same time,quantitative flexible contract and Markov chain are introduced,and different subsidies are considered for different quantities.The emergency material procurement model based on quantitative flexible contract is constructed,and the cooperation conditions and optimal decision-making strategies of government and enterprise are analyzed.The effectiveness of the model was verified by Matlab simulation experiment,and the sensitivity analysis of different variables was carried out to obtain important management enlightenment.The results show that the government-enterprise joint emergency supplies procurement pricing model considering the random changes of injury conditions has stronger stability and optimization effect than the decentralized non-cooperative decision-making,which improves the cost of the government and the profits of the enterprises to some extent,and also makes the emergency supplies procurement decision-making more realistic.

关 键 词：伤情状态随机变化 MARKOV链 采购定价决策 

分 类 号：F253[经济管理—国民经济]