高比例可再生能源新型电力系统长期规划综述  

A Review of Long-term Planning of New Power Systems With Large Share of Renewable Energy

作　　者：黎博 陈民铀[1] 钟海旺[2] 马子明 刘东冉 何钢[5] LI Bo;CHEN Minyou;ZHONG Haiwang;MA Ziming;LIU Dongran;HE Gang(State key Laboratory of Power Transmission Equipment&System Security and New Technology(Chongqing University),Shapingba District,Chongqing 400030,China;State Key Lab of Control and Simulation of Power Systems and Generation Equipment(Tsinghua University),Haidian District,Beijing 100084,China;National Power Dispatching and Control Center,State Grid Corporation of China,Xicheng District,Beijing 100031,China;School of Economics and Management,North China Electric Power University,Changping District,Beijing 102206,China;Department of Technology and Society,College of Engineering and Applied Sciences,Stony Brook University,Stony Brook,NY 11794,USA)

机构地区：[1]输配电装备与系统安全与新技术国家重点实验室(重庆大学),重庆市沙坪坝区400030 [2]电力系统及发电设备控制与仿真国家重点实验室(清华大学),北京市海淀区100084 [3]国家电力调度中心(国家电网),北京市西城区100031 [4]华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京市昌平区102206 [5]工程与应用科学学院(纽约州立大学石溪分校),美国纽约州11794

出　　处：《中国电机工程学报》2023年第2期555-580,共26页Proceedings of the CSEE

基　　金：重庆市研究生科研创新项目(CYB19022);国家自然科学基金项目(51177177)。

摘　　要：大力发展风电、光伏等可再生能源是实现电力系统低碳转型的重要途径。由于可再生能源出力具有波动性与不确定性,为应对大规模可再生能源并网给电力系统长期规划带来的挑战,近年来相关研究成果不断推出。为全面综述该领域的研究现状,该文首先分析新型电力系统的主要技术特征,然后,从能源供应的经济–政策不确定性与低碳转型带来的能源供应安全两个方面分析新型电力系统长期规划模型所面临的挑战。并从长期不确定性、短期不确定性、电力系统充裕性、电力系统安全性4个方面,综述当前新型电力系统长期规划研究成果,分析其中需要关注的重点、难点问题。最后,对新型电力系统长期规划模型的构建与应用进行总结与展望。Integrating large-scale renewable energy such as wind power and photovoltaics(PV)into the power system is a key in realizing its low-carbon transition.Due to the volatility and uncertainty of renewable energy outputs,there are many studies to solve the huge challenges resulting from integrating large-scale renewable energy in the long-term planning of the power system.This paper first analyzes the main technical characteristics of the new power system.Then,the key challenges in terms of economic and policy uncertainty of energy supply,energy supply security brought about by the low-carbon transition with high penetration of variable energy are studied.The review shows the main challenges and current research results of the power system long-term planning,including long-term uncertainties,short-term uncertainties,evaluation of system stability and adequacy.The difficulties and potential research contents needed to be taken into consideration are revealed.Finally,future trends about the exploration and application of the power system long-term planning are summarized and prospected.

关 键 词：电力系统长期规划 新型电力系统 高比例可再生能源 充裕性与安全性分析 时空分辨率 

分 类 号：TM73[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]