新型城镇化与生态环境时空耦合及影响因素  

Spatio-temporal coupling and influencing factors of new-type urbanization and ecological environment

作　　者：熊敏 田逸飘 XIONG Min;TIAN Yipiao(School of Economics and Management,Dali University,Dali,Yunnan 671003,China;Institute of Economic Research,Dali University,Dali,Yunnan 671003,China)

机构地区：[1]大理大学经济与管理学院,云南大理671003 [2]大理大学经济研究所,云南大理671003

出　　处：《内江师范学院学报》2023年第2期62-72,共11页Journal of Neijiang Normal University

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(18CJY013);云南省哲学社会科学规划重点项目(ZD201703);云南省哲学社会科学规划项目(YB2019025)。

摘　　要：以全国31省区市为研究对象,通过构建新型城镇化与生态环境指标评价体系,借助熵值法、改进耦合协调度模型、Tobit模型等方法,探究2011—2020年我国各地区新型城镇化与生态环境耦合协调的时空演变特征,并在此基础上,构建随机效应面板Tobit模型,进一步分析全国及各地区新型城镇化与生态环境耦合协调发展的影响因素.结果表明:我国各省区市新型城镇化水平呈逐年上升趋势,而生态环境水平虽总体呈上升趋势,但部分省、自治区生态环境子系统评价指数有所波动;我国新型城镇化与生态环境耦合度总体呈下降趋势,且各区域新型城镇化与生态环境耦合度呈现区域内差异与区域间差异特征;我国各区域新型城镇化与生态环境耦合协调度总体呈上升趋势,但地区间存在动态差异,且新型城镇化滞后型省份与同步发展型省份逐渐减少,生态环境滞后型省份增多,两个子系统的发展并未实现理想的高度耦合协调与同步发展状态,存在发展不平衡的问题;区域创新环境、经济发展水平对我国新型城镇化与生态环境耦合协调发展具有正向显著影响,而工业化水平具有负向的显著影响,政府财政支出规模呈现负向不显著,且各地区新型城镇化与生态环境协调发展的影响因素存在明显的空间异质性.The 31 provinces,autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government in China as the research object.By constructing a new-type urbanization and ecological environment index evaluation system,the entropy value method,an improved method of coupling coordination degree model,and the Tobit model were adopted to explore various areas in China from 2011 to 2020 for their spatial-temporal evolution characteristics of coupling coordination of new-type urbanization and ecological environment,and on this basis,the stochastic effects panel Tobit model was constructed to further analyze the influencing factors of the coupling and coordinated development of new-type urbanization and ecological environment in China and all regions.The results showed that:The level of new-type urbanization in provinces,autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government increased yearly,while the level of ecological environment increased as a whole,but the evaluation indexes of ecological environment subsystem in some provinces and autonomous regions fluctuated.The coupling degree of new-type urbanization and eco-environment in China has a declining trend in general,and the coupling degree of new-type urbanization and eco-environment in each region presents intra-regional differences and inter-regional differences.The regional coupling coordination degree of new-type urbanization and ecological environment in general is on the rise,but the dynamic differences between regions,and a new type of urbanization lag province and synchronous development-oriented provinces gradually reduce,the ecological environment lag province increased,the development of the two sub-systems did not achieve the highly coupled coordination and synchronization development status,the problems of uneven evelopment.Regional innovation environment and economic development level have a positive and significant influence on the coupled and coordinated development of new-type urbanization and ecological environment in China,whil

关 键 词：新型城镇化 生态环境 耦合协调模型 相对发展度模型 TOBIT模型 

分 类 号：F299[经济管理—国民经济]