城市时空特性停车泊位需求影响分析  

Analysis on the Impact of Urban Space-time Characteristics on Parking Berth Demand

作　　者：范勇强 胡永仕 范勇迎 王辛岩[4] 楚彭子 FAN Yongqiang;HU Yongshi;FAN Yongying;WANG Xinyan;CHU Pengzi(School of Transportation,Fujian University of Technology,Fuzhou 350118,China;Transportation Department of Tibet Autonomous Region,Lhasa 850000,China;School of Traffic and Transportation,Lanzhou Jiaotong University,Lanzhou 730070,China;Engineering College,Tibet University,Lhasa 850000,China;The Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering,Ministry of Education,Tongji University,Shanghai 201804,China)

机构地区：[1]福建工程学院交通运输学院,福州350118 [2]西藏自治区交通运输厅,拉萨850000 [3]兰州交通大学交通运输学院,兰州730070 [4]西藏大学工学院,拉萨850000 [5]同济大学道路与交通工程教育部重点实验室,上海201804

出　　处：《武汉理工大学学报（交通科学与工程版）》2023年第1期25-30,36,共7页Journal of Wuhan University of Technology（Transportation Science & Engineering）

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(51768063,51968063);教育部人文社科研究青年基金项目(16YJC790032);西藏大学科研培育基金项目(ZDTSJH18-02);福建省社科研究基地重大项目(FJ2018JDZ023)。

摘　　要：文中构建时空地理加权泊松回归模型,揭示了城市地域结构的交通基础设施、节点位置和土地利用变量对停车泊位的影响.结果表明:时空地理加权泊松回归模型对泊位影响拟合效果较好,具有较高的解释度和准确度;CBD邻近度、就业岗位密度、生活设施密度和休闲娱乐密度对城市停车泊位有较大的促进作用;公共交通线网密度与停车泊位数有着显著的抑制作用;出入口邻近度和土地价值在不同区域上呈现出正负两种不同的影响效应.A Poisson regression model weighted by time and space geography was constructed to reveal the influence of traffic infrastructure, node location and land use variables of urban regional structure on parking spaces. The results show that the space-time geographic weighted Poisson regression model has a good fitting effect on berth influence, and has a high degree of explanation and accuracy. The proximity of CBD, the density of jobs, the density of living facilities and the density of leisure and entertainment have a great role in promoting urban parking spaces. The density of public transportation network and the number of parking spaces have a significant inhibitory effect. The proximity of entrances and exits and the land value have two different effects in different regions.

关 键 词：停车泊位 交通规划 时空地理加权泊松回归模型 城市时空特性 相关性分析 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]