农业生产率如何影响农村家庭消费?  

How does Agricultural Productivity Affect Rural Residents’ Consumption?

作　　者：王文波 周京奎[3] Wang Wen-bo;Zhou Jing-kui(China Center for Special Economic Zone Research,Shenzhen University,Shenzhen 518061,Guangdong,China;Shenzhen Real Estate and Urban Construction Development Research Center,Shenzhen 518028,Guangdong,China;School of Economics,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China)

机构地区：[1]深圳大学中国经济特区研究中心,广东深圳518061 [2]深圳市房地产和城市建设发展研究中心,广东深圳518028 [3]南开大学经济学院,天津300071

出　　处：《消费经济》2022年第6期56-69,共14页Consumer Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目(18BJL117);国家社会科学基金重大项目(15ZDA019);天津市哲学社会科学规划项目(TJYJ20-003)。

摘　　要：基于中国家庭收入调查(CHIP)数据,文章从理论和实证上分析了农业生产率与农村家庭消费之间的关系。研究结果表明,农业生产率提高是推动农村家庭消费支出增长的重要动力;相比生存性消费支出,农业生产率对农村家庭享受性消费支出的影响更大。在影响机制上,农业生产率可以通过影响农村家庭收入进而影响家庭消费情况。人力资本积累在农业生产率影响家庭消费的过程中发挥着重要调节作用,人力资本水平提高可以促进农业生产率对农村家庭消费的正向影响。过去各年度农业生产率提高对农村家庭消费均存在正向影响,且越早期的农业生产率提高对农村家庭消费的影响越大。此外,相比户主从事非农生产家庭,农业生产率对户主从事农业生产家庭消费的影响更大;相比高消费水平农村家庭,农业生产率对低消费水平家庭的促进作用更为明显。上述结论表明,国家惠农政策向农业生产率提高和教育投资领域倾斜,对于促进农村家庭收入增长、推动农村家庭消费支出提高和消费升级具有重要意义。Based on Chinese Household Income Project(CHIP) survey data, this paper analyzes the relationship between agricultural productivity and rural household consumption theoretically and empirically. The research results show that agricultural productivity increase is an important driving force for the growth of rural household consumption expenditure. Compared with subsistence consumption expenditure, agricultural productivity has a greater impact on rural household enjoyment consumption expenditure. In terms of the influence mechanism, the agricultural productivity can affect rural household consumption by affecting rural household income. The human capital accumulation plays an important moderating role in the impact of agricultural productivity on household consumption, and the improvement of human capital level can promote the positive impact of agricultural productivity on rural household consumption. The increase of agricultural productivity in the past years has a positive impact on rural household consumption, and the earlier the increase of agricultural productivity has a greater impact on rural household consumption. In addition, compared with households whose heads are engaged in non-agricultural production, agricultural productivity has a greater impact on the consumption of households whose heads are engaged in agricultural production. Compared with rural households with higher consumption level, agricultural productivity has a more significant promoting effect on households with lower consumption level. The above conclusions show that the national agriculture-friendly policy is inclined to the field of agricultural productivity improvement and education investment, which is of great significance for promoting the growth of rural household income, promoting the growth of rural household consumption expenditure and consumption upgrading.

关 键 词：家庭消费 农业生产率 收入增长 人力资本 

分 类 号：F304.7[经济管理—产业经济]