基于演化博弈论的可变导向车道设置策略研究  

Research on the Strategy of Setting Variable Approach Lane Based on Evolutionary Game Theory

作　　者：孔祥芬[1] 刘敬赟 王杰 唐淑珍 赵安利 KONG Xiangfen;LIU Jingyun;WANG Jie;TANG Shuzhen;ZHAO Anli(School of Transportation Science and Engineering,Civil Aviation University of China,Tianjin 300300,China;School of Aeronautical Engineering,Civil Aviation University of China,Tianjin 300300,China)

机构地区：[1]中国民航大学交通科学与工程学院,天津300300 [2]中国民航大学航空工程学院,天津300300

出　　处：《工业工程》2023年第1期115-122,共8页Industrial Engineering Journal

基　　金：民航机场群智慧运营重点实验室开放基金资助项目(KLAGIO20180302);航空科学基金资助项目(20170267002)。

摘　　要：可变导向车道的设置,在提高道路通行效率的同时会造成驾驶人情绪紧张或者因不了解路况导致违规甚至发生事故,对交通系统的安全和稳定运行产生负面影响。以交管部门设置可变导向车道的策略选择为研究目标,结合驾驶人走可变导向车道时产生的紧张情绪损失等因素,构建交管部门-驾驶人群体两方博弈模型。采用演化博弈论的方法分析博弈双方选择行为演化和稳定策略,对系统中存在的5个演化均衡点进行分析,得到系统的3种理想稳定状态和相对应的参数条件,为交管部门设置可变导向车道进行策略选择提供理论支撑。The setting of variable approach lane will improve road traffic efficiency but at the same time may cause drivers to be emotionally stressed or cause violations and even accidents because the drivers do not understand the road conditions.This phenomenon will have a negative impact on the safety and stable operation of the transportation system. Taking the strategic choice of the traffic control department to set up variable approach lane as the research objective, and combining factors such as the nervousness loss caused by the driver when driving in the variable approach lane, a traffic control department-driver two-party game model is constructed, and the method of evolutionary game theory adopted to analyze both sides of the game choose behavior evolution and stable strategies, obtaining the ideal state of the system and the corresponding parameter conditions, and providing theoretical support for the traffic control department to set up variable approach lanes for strategic selection.

关 键 词：演化博弈 可变导向车道 交管部门 驾驶人群体 演化稳定策略 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]