中国大陆入境旅游产业演化与韧性研究  

Evolution of Inbound Tourism Industry and Its Resilience in Chinese Mainland

作　　者：方叶林[1] 吴燕妮 黄震方[2] 王秋月 FANG Yelin;WU Yanni;HUANG Zhenfang;WANG Qiuyue(School of Business,Anhui University,Hefei 230601,Anhui,China;School of Geography,Nanjing Normal University,Nanjing 210023,Jiangsu,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽大学商学院,安徽合肥230601 [2]南京师范大学地理科学学院,江苏南京210023

出　　处：《经济地理》2023年第1期188-196,共9页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(42171238、42271272);安徽省自然科学基金面上项目(2108085MD125)。

摘　　要：旅游业韧性与高质量发展密不可分,提升旅游业韧性是旅游产业高质量发展的基本要求之一。利用2000-2019年中国大陆入境旅游产业发展的相关数据,在对入境旅游产业专业化、多样化以及韧性定量测度的基础上,分析其韧性的影响机理,结果表明:①2000-2019年中国大陆入境旅游产业取得飞速发展,其产业专业化与多样化指数总体呈相反的演化特征:就全国均值而言,入境旅游产业专业化指数在波动中上升,而多样化指数在波动中下降。②2000-2019年,无论是入境旅游产业的各个部门,还是总体入境旅游产业,都具有较强的韧性,个别年份的特殊事件没有从根本上改变这一特征。③入境旅游产业专业化与多样化对韧性影响存在显著差异,入境旅游产业多样化对其韧性提升具有一定的促进作用,而专业化总体上对韧性影响不显著;此外,区域交通与对外开放程度对韧性提升也具有一定的促进作用。④未来一方面需要科学认识入境旅游产业韧性特征,进一步调整入境旅游产业结构,增加入境旅游产业多样化指数;另一方面需要夯实旅游发展的交通基础设施,适当提升对外开放程度。Tourism resilience is closely related to the high-quality development of tourism industry,improving tourism resilience is one of the basic requirements for the high-quality development of tourism industry.Based on the relevant data of inbound tourism industry in Chinese mainland from 2000 to 2019,this paper quantitatively measures the specialization,diversification and resilience of inbound tourism industry,and analyzes the impact mechanism of inbound tourism resilience.The main conclusions of the paper are as follows:1)The inbound tourism industry in Chinese mainland has achieved rapid development from 2000 to 2019.The specialization and diversification of the inbound tourism industry in Chinese mainland generally have the opposite evolutionary characteristics.In terms of the average value,the specialization index of inbound tourism industry is rising in fluctuation,while the diversification index is declining in fluctuation.2)From 2000 to 2019,both the various departments and the overall inbound tourism industry have strong resilience characteristics,and the special events in individual years have not fundamentally changed this trend.There is a significant difference between the impact of specialization and diversification on the resilience of the inbound tourism industry.3)The diversification has a certain role in promoting the resilience of the inbound tourism industry,while the specialization has no significant impact on the inbound tourism resilience on the whole.In addition,regional transportation and the opening-degree also have a certain role in promoting the inbound tourism resilience.4)In order to improve the resilience of the inbound tourism industry,on the one hand,it should scientifically understand the resilience characteristics,further adjust the structure of the inbound tourism industry,and increase the diversity index of the inbound tourism industry.On the other hand,it should consolidate the transportation infrastructure of tourism development and appropriately improve the opening-degree to the

关 键 词：入境旅游产业 专业化 多样化 韧性 影响机理 高质量发展 

分 类 号：F592.99[经济管理—旅游管理]