我国体育产业发展与国民经济增长关系的实证研究  

Empirical Research on the Relationship between the Development of China’s Sports Industry and the Growth of National Economy

作　　者：杨伟松 关朝阳[2] YANG Weisong;GUAN Chaoyang(College of P.E.,Henan University of Science and Technology,Xinxiang 453003,Henan,China;College of P.E.,Henan Normal University,Xinxiang 453007,Henan,China)

机构地区：[1]河南科技学院体育学院,河南新乡453003 [2]河南师范大学体育学院,河南新乡453007

出　　处：《山东体育科技》2023年第1期1-7,共7页Shandong Sports Science & Technology

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(编号:20BTY010)。

摘　　要：运用文献资料、数理统计、向量自回归模型等方法,基于2010-2020年体育产业发展与国民经济增长的相关统计指标数据,探讨我国体育产业发展与国民经济增长的关系。研究发现:长期来看,体育产业发展与国民经济增长之间存在正向协整关系;短期内,当均衡状态发生波动时,当期体育产业增加值以-0.243 5倍的力度对上一期非均衡状态进行调整,将其拉回长期均衡状态;脉冲响应函数和方差分解分析结果显示,体育产业发展与国民经济增长均受到来自自身冲击的影响。最后提出:发挥体育产业与国民经济互惠共生的力量、改善体育产业与国民经济的偏利关系、掌控体育产业与国民经济长期均衡发展的节点等优化路径,以推动体育产业与国民经济的协同发展。Using literature review, mathematical statistics, vector auto-regressive model, based on the relevant statistical indicator data of the development of the sports industry and the growth of the national economy from 2010 to 2020, the authors explore the coupling relationship between the development of China’s sports industry and the growth of the national economy. The results show that, in the long term, there is a positive co-integration relationship between the development of the sports industry and the growth of the national economy;in the short term, when the equilibrium state fluctuates, the added value of the sports industry in the current period will be adjusted by-0.2435 times the intensity of the previous period of disequilibrium, and then drew back to the long-term equilibrium state.;the results of impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis show that the development of the sports industry and the growth of the national economy are both affected by their own impact. Finally, optimized paths are proposed such as "playing the power of the sports industry and the national economy for mutual benefit", "improving the partial benefit relationship between the sports industry and the national economy", and "controlling the nodes of the long-term balanced development of the sports industry and the national economy" to promote the coordinated development of the sports industry and the national economy.

关 键 词：体育产业 国民经济 实证关系 

分 类 号：G80-052[文化科学—运动人体科学]