基于生命周期理论的弱信号三维度演化过程模型研究  

Research on Three-Dimensional Evolution Process Model of Weak Signal Based on Life Cycle Theory

作　　者：赵动员 唐中君[1] Zhao Dongyuan;Tang Zhongjun(School of Economics and Management,Beijing University of Technology,Beijing 100124)

机构地区：[1]北京工业大学经济与管理学院,北京100124

出　　处：《情报杂志》2023年第3期130-138,157,共10页Journal of Intelligence

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目“基于类比推理的短生命周期无形体验品需求预测”(编号:71672004)的研究成果之一。

摘　　要：[研究目的]为解决弱信号生命周期演化过程中存在的单一维度研究的局限性,该文运用文献回顾、归纳、对比等方法,总结了弱信号的内涵和特点以及弱信号演化特点。[研究方法]创新性地提出了意义建构过程、内容丰富过程以及扩散过程等三个演化子过程,并分析了三个子过程之间的相对独立性、“三螺旋结构”交互性,探索性地提出了融合弱信号演化特点、三个子过程、及子过程之间关系的弱信号生命周期三维度演化过程模型,并进行了实例验证与应用分析。[研究结论]该模型可用于减少弱信号管理时存在的弱信号收集遗漏、排除无关虚假弱信号,增强主题内容关联度、提高有价值弱信号的识别机率以及效率。[Research purpose]In order to solve the limitation of single dimension research in the evolution process of weak signal life cycle,this paper summarizes the connotation and characteristics of weak signal and the characteristics of weak signal evolution by using the methods of literature review,induction and comparison.[Research method]This paper creatively puts forward three evolution sub processes:meaning construction process,content enrichment process and diffusion process,further analyzes the relative independence and"three spiral structure"interaction among the three sub processes,and tentatively puts forward a three-dimensional evolution process model of weak signal life cycle integrating the evolution characteristics of weak signal,the three sub processes and the relationship between sub processes,and carries out example verification and application analysis.[Research conclusion]The model can be used to reduce the omission of weak signal collection in weak signal management,eliminate irrelevant false weak signals,enhance the relevance of subject content,and improve the recognition probability and efficiency of valuable weak signals.

关 键 词：生命周期理论 弱信号 三维度演化 三螺旋结构 竞争情报 意义建构 

分 类 号：G359.2[文化科学—情报学]