延庆冬奥赛区外围森林火灾应急情景构建研究  

Research on Construction of Forest Fire Emergency Scenario in the Periphery of Yanqing Winter Olympic Games Area

作　　者：王博[1,2] 常宁 吴春水 赖光辉 韩自强 陈锋 刘晓东[1,2] 白夜 WANG Bo;CHANG Ning;WU Chun-shui;LAI Guang-hui;HAN Zi-qiang;CHEN Feng;LIU Xiao-dong;BAI Ye(Beijing Key Laboratory for Forest Resources and Ecosystem Processes,Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,P.R.China;Key Laboratory of Forest and Grassland Fire Risk Prevention Ministry of Emergency Management,China Fire and Rescue Institute,Beijing 102202,P.R.China;Beijing Municipal Forestry and Parks Bureau Forerest Fire Prevention Division,Beijing 100013,P.R.China;Beijing Municipal Forestry and Parks Planning and Resource Monitoring Center,Beijing Municipal Forestry Carbon Sinks and International Cooperation Affairs Center,Beijing 100029,P.R.China;Beijing Municipal Forestry and Parks Bureau of Yanqing District,Beijing 102101,P.R.China)

机构地区：[1]北京林业大学森林资源生态系统过程北京市重点实验室,北京100083 [2]中国消防救援学院森林草原火灾风险防控应急管理部重点实验室,北京102202 [3]北京市园林绿化局森林防火处,北京100013 [4]北京市园林绿化规划和资源监测中心(北京市林业碳汇与国际合作事务中心),北京100029 [5]北京市延庆区园林绿化局,北京102101

出　　处：《森林防火》2022年第2期7-12,共6页JOURNAL OF WILDLAND FIRE SCIENCE

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目(2020YFC1511601)。

摘　　要：为提高森林大火巨灾应对能力,利用情景构建理论,研究延庆冬奥赛区外围森林火灾应急管理模式。揭示森林火灾演化机理,构建延庆冬奥赛区外围森林火灾情景,梳理情景应急任务并评估情景应急能力,提出应急准备建议。研究表明:1凍林火灾的演化过程包括事故发生前和事故处置过程中两类典型的时间窗,分别表现为冒烟和火势蔓延在可控范围内;2)延庆冬奥赛区外围森林大火巨灾防控缺失能力包括信息报送、舆情引导、协同配合、林火阻隔、先进装备、复燃监测等竹方面;3)情景应急准备建议包括加强巡护、舆情引导、协同演练、林火阻隔、基础设施、联防联控等竹方面。In order to improve the ability to deal with the huge fire disaster,the forest fire emergency management mode in the periphery of Yanqing Winter Olympic Games Area by using the scenario construction theory was studied.This study revealed the evolution mechanism of forest fire,constructed the forest fire scenario in the periphery of Yanqing Winter Olympic Games Area,sorted out the scenario emergency tasks and assessed the scenario emergency response capability,and put forward emergency preparedness suggestions.The results showed that:1)The evolution process of forest fire includes two typical time windows before the occurrence of the accident and during the disposal of the accident,which are smoke and fire spreading within the controllable range respectively;2)The lack of prevention and control capacity of forest fire catastrophe in the periphery of Yanqing Winter Olympic Games area includes six aspects,including information reporting,public opinion guidance,cooperation,forest fire barrier,advanced equipment,and re-burning monitoring;3)Suggestions for scenario emergency preparedness include six aspects,including strengthening patrol,public opinion guidance,joint drill,forest fire barrier,infrastructure,joint prevention and control.

关 键 词：延庆冬奥赛区 森林火灾 应急管理 情景构建 缺失能力 

分 类 号：S762[农业科学—森林保护学]