中国鞋靴产品对“一带一路”沿线国家出口贸易潜力研究——基于拓展的贸易引力模型的实证分析  

Research on the Export Trade Potential of Chinese Footwear to the Countries along the "Belt and Road" : An Empirical Analysis based on the Expanded Trade Gravity Model

作　　者：罗明[1] 邱艳 李明武[2] LUO Ming;QIU Yan;LI Mingwu(Yangtze University College of Arts and Sciences,Jingzhou 434023 China;School of Economics and Management,Yangtze University,Jingzhou 434023 China)

机构地区：[1]长江大学文理学院,湖北荆州434023 [2]长江大学经济与管理学院,湖北荆州434023

出　　处：《皮革科学与工程》2023年第2期103-108,共6页Leather Science and Engineering

摘　　要：“一带一路”倡议的实施,为我国制鞋业出口和产业转型升级提供了新的发展机遇。基于2010-2019年中国对“一带一路”沿线国家鞋靴产品出口的贸易额面板数据,构建贸易引力模型,并测算我国鞋靴产品对沿线国家的出口贸易潜力。结果表明在选取的24个国家中,大部分国家有较大的贸易潜力,其中有8国贸易潜力巨大,未来出口贸易潜力有很大的挖掘和提升空间。因此,我国应该稳定制鞋业产业布局,提升产品竞争力,积极开拓“一带一路”沿线国家市场,深化与“一带一路”沿线国家的贸易合作。The implementation of "the Belt and Road" Initiative provides new development opportunities for export and industrial transformation and upgrading of China’s footwear industry. This paper constructs a trade gravity model based on the trade volume panel data of China’s footwear exports to countries along the "Belt and Road" from2010 to 2019, and measures the export trade potential of China’s footwear products to countries along the belt and road. The results show that among the 24 selected countries, most of them have a large trade potential, among which 8countries have a huge trade potential, and there is a lot of room to explore and improve the future export trade potential. Therefore, China should stabilize the layout of footwear industry, improve the competitiveness of products,actively explore the markets of countries along the Belt and Road, and deepen trade cooperation with countries along the Belt and Road.

关 键 词：鞋靴产品 “一带一路” 出口贸易潜力 贸易引力模型 

分 类 号：TS943[轻工技术与工程—服装设计与工程] F752.67[经济管理—国际贸易]