乡村振兴背景下安徽省农旅产业耦合发展的实证研究——基于耦合协调度模型与灰色关联分析法  

An Empirical Study on the Coupling Development of Agriculture and Tourism in Anhui Province under the Background of Rural Vitalization——Based on Coupling Coordination Model and Grey Relation Analysis

作　　者：刘泽滨 朱春霞 孙业国 LIU Zebin;ZHU Chunxia;SUN Yeguo

机构地区：[1]淮南师范学院金融与数学学院,安徽淮南232038 [2]中共长丰县委党校信息中心,安徽合肥231100 [3]淮南师范学院科研处,安徽淮南232038

出　　处：《淮南师范学院学报》2023年第1期59-64,共6页Journal of Huainan Normal University

基　　金：2021年淮南市指导性科技计划项目“农旅产业融合驱动淮南乡村振兴内在机理与动力机制研究”(2021062);淮南师范学院2021年度校级科学研究一般项目“乡村振兴背景下安徽省农旅产业耦合协调发展研究”(2021XJYB005);淮南师范学院2021年度校级科学研究重点项目“金融科技背景下长期护理保险的定价研究”(2021XJZD004)。

摘　　要：农旅产业的耦合协调发展对推动乡村振兴高质量发展、加快农业农村现代化建设具有重要意义。文章选取安徽省2012—2020年农旅产业发展的相关数据,利用熵权法确定评价指标体系权重,通过耦合度模型、耦合协调度模型及灰色关联分析模型测算安徽省农旅产业耦合发展水平。实证结果表明,安徽省农旅产业耦合水平处于磨合阶段,耦合协调水平总体呈稳定上升态势,2020年受新冠疫情影响下降至调和协调水平。安徽省应深入挖掘农旅耦合点,强化政府引导,以“农民+旅游”推动乡村振兴。The coupling coordinated development of agriculture and tourism is of strategic significance to promote the high-quality development of rural vitalization and accelerate the construction of agricultural and rural modernization. The article selects the data related to the development of the agriculture and tourism in Anhui Province from 2012 to 2020, determines the weights of the evaluation index system using the entropy weight method, and measures the level of coupling development of the agriculture and tourism in Anhui Province through the coupling degree model and coupling coordination degree model. The empirical results reveal that the coupling level of agriculture and tourism is at the grinding stage, and the coupling coordination shows an overall steady increase and slight decrease to the reconciliation level in 2020 due to the COVID-19. The grey correlation analysis model concluded that four indicators have a significant contribution to the coupling coordination development of the agriculture and tourism in Anhui Province. Based on the empirical results, suggestions for coupling coordination development are proposed.

关 键 词：乡村振兴 熵权法 耦合度模型 耦合协调度模型 灰色关联分析模型 

分 类 号：F327[经济管理—产业经济]