21世纪以来中阿经贸合作发展的多维透视  

A Multidimensional Perspective on China-Arab Economic and Trade Cooperation Development Since the 21 Century

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作  者:王猛[1] 王博超 WANG Meng;WANG Bochao(Institute of Middle East Studies,Northwestern University)

机构地区:[1]西北大学中东研究所,西安710127

出  处:《阿拉伯世界研究》2023年第1期25-49,158,159,共27页Arab World Studies

基  金:2020年度国家社科基金后期资助项目“中国中东外交的发展与演进研究(1949—2019)”(20FSSB017)的阶段性研究成果。

摘  要:在2001年至2021年间,中国与阿拉伯国家的经贸合作实现了跨越式发展,双边货物贸易额快速增长,贸易结构稳定,沙特和阿联酋等重点市场持续发挥着领头羊作用。能源联系始终是中阿经贸合作发展的主轴,中国即将到来的能源消费峰值可能削弱中阿经贸的增长推力,但基于巨量油气进口的能源联系对中阿经贸合作的推动作用还将持续。除了阿联酋、利比亚和阿尔及利亚以外,中国对阿拉伯产油国都持有巨额逆差,对非产油国持有巨额顺差。中阿经贸合作整体平衡与个体失衡的背后是中国商贸产品的较短产业链和较低附加值。基础设施建设和相互直接投资是中阿经贸“1+2+3”合作格局的两翼,前者发展相对较快,后者则一直在低位徘徊。未来的发展方向是推动阿拉伯国家的工业园区建设,强化中阿在核能、航天、卫星、新能源等高新领域的合作,建立中阿能源命运共同体。During 2001-2021, China’s economic and trade cooperation with Arab countries has achieved a leapfrog development, with rapid growth in goods amounted and a stable trade structure. Key markets such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE continue to play a leading role. Energy ties have always been the main axis of Sino-Arab economic and trade development. China’s upcoming energy consumption peak may weaken the growth thrust of Sino-Arab economic and trade, but the energy ties based on huge oil and gas imports will continue to be a driving force for Sino-Arab economic and trade. China holds a huge deficit with most oil-producing countries except the UAE, Libya and Algeria and a huge surplus with all non-oil-producing countries. Behind the overall balance and individual imbalance is the shorter industrial chain and lower added value of Chinese trade products. Infrastructure construction and mutual direct investment are the two wings of the “1 + 2 + 3” cooperation pattern of China-Arab economic and trade. The former has been developing relatively fast, while the latter has been hovering at a low level. Their future development direction is to promote the construction of industrial parks in Arab countries to strengthen China-Arab cooperation in high-tech fields and establish the energy community of destiny.

关 键 词:中阿经贸 “1+2+3”合作格局 能源联系 基础设施建设 相互直接投资 

分 类 号:D815[政治法律—国际关系]

 

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