中国资源型城市经济高质量发展水平识别与转换规律——以30个煤炭城市为例  

The identification of high-quality economic development level of coal resource-based cities and its transformation in China:A case study of 30 coal cities

作　　者：肖小东 刘耀彬[1] 李汝资[1] XIAO Xiao-dong;LIU Yao-bin;LI Ru-zi(School of Economics and Management,Nanchang University,Nanchang 330031,China)

机构地区：[1]南昌大学经济管理学院,南昌330031

出　　处：《自然资源学报》2023年第3期563-575,共13页Journal of Natural Resources

基　　金：教育部哲学社会科学研究后期资助重大项目(18JHQ008);国家社会科学基金重大项目(2015AZD070)。

摘　　要：准确识别资源型城市经济高质量发展水平与转换规律,不仅有利于城市经济结构转型,更有利于资源可持续利用。基于速度和效率并采用生产理论将资源型城市经济高质量发展阶段进行划分,采用面板平滑转换(PSTR)模型对中国2003—2020年30个煤炭城市的经济高质量发展水平进行识别,并进一步分析其转换规律。结果表明:(1)资源型城市经济高质量发展水平与资源产业依赖度高度相关,资源型城市经济高质量发展水平存在明显的阶段特征;(2)2003—2011年间,处于经济高质量发展高水平和中水平阶段的煤炭城市由12个上升至19个,低水平阶段的煤炭城市数量由18个减少到11个,表明大部分煤炭城市实现了经济高质量发展水平的提高;(3)11个煤炭城市经济高质量发展实现了单阶段的转换,仅乌海市实现了由低水平向高水平阶段的两阶段转换,18个煤炭城市处于停滞状态,进一步驱动机制分析发现产业结构升级是推动煤炭城市经济高质量发展阶段转换的重要因素,表明煤炭城市经济高质量发展水平的提升是个长期过程,需要持续推动经济转型。Accurate identification of high-quality development level of resource-based city economy is not only conducive to the transformation of urban economic structure, but also conducive to the sustainable utilization of resources. Based on speed, efficiency and production theory, this paper divides the high-quality economic development stages of resource-based cities. The panel smooth transformation(PSTR) model is used to identify the high-quality economic development level of 30 coal cities in China from 2003 to 2020, and further analyzes the transformation rules. The results show that: First, the high-quality economic development level of resource-based cities is highly correlated with the intensity of resource industry, and has obvious stage characteristics. Second, from 2003 to 2011, the number of coal cities at the high and medium level of high-quality economic decelopment increased from 12 to 19, and that at the low level decreased from 18 to 11. This indicates that most coal cities improved the high-quality economic development level. Third, the high-quality economic development of 11 coal cities has realized the single-stage transition, only Wuhai city has achieved the transition from low to high level, and the remaining 18 coal cities are in stagnation. Further, the driving mechanism analysis shows that industrial structure upgrading is an important factor to promote the transition of high-quality economic development stage in coal cities. It indicates that the improvement of high-quality economic development level of coal cities is a long-term process,which requires continuous promotion of economic transformation.

关 键 词：资源型城市 经济高质量发展 水平识别 转换规律 煤炭城市 

分 类 号：F299.2[经济管理—国民经济]