对外直接投资逆向技术溢出对中国产业结构升级的影响  

Influence of Reverse Technology Spillover of Foreign Direct Investment on China′s Industrial Structure Upgrade

作　　者：朴英爱[1] 于鸿 PIAO Ying-ai;YU Hong(Northeast Asia Research Center,Jilin University,Changchun 130012,China;Northeast Asia College,Jilin University,Changchun 130012,China)

机构地区：[1]吉林大学东北亚研究中心,吉林长春130012 [2]吉林大学东北亚学院,吉林长春130012

出　　处：《税务与经济》2023年第1期62-70,共9页Taxation and Economy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(19BGJ049)。

摘　　要：发达国家技术密集型行业是逆向技术溢出的主要来源。以中国2003~2019年省际面板数据为样本,运用面板平滑转换回归模型实证检验OFDI逆向技术溢出影响中国产业结构升级的门槛效应。研究发现:研发投入强度、政府支持研发力度、对外开放水平在达到门槛值后,OFDI逆向技术溢出对中国产业结构升级的负面影响显著增强;劳动者受教育程度在越过第二门槛值后,OFDI逆向技术溢出仍显著抑制中国产业结构升级,但抑制作用有所减弱;当与东道国技术差距较大时,OFDI逆向技术溢出显著促进中国产业结构升级;经济发展水平在低于门槛值时,OFDI逆向技术溢出对中国产业结构升级的负向调节作用不明显,达到门槛值后,负向调节作用显著增强。因此,中国应在持续优化OFDI产业选择与区位布局、提高先进技术吸收能力的同时,不断改善国内研发投入结构和财政科技拨款结构,推动中国金融业高质量发展。Technology-intensive industries in developed countries are the main source of reverse technology spillovers. Taking China′s provincial panel data from 2003 to 2019 as a sample,the panel smooth transition regression model is used to empirically test the threshold effect of OFDI reverse technology spillovers on China′s industrial structure upgrading. The study found that:after the intensity of R&D investment,government support for R&D,and the level of opening to the outside world reached the threshold,the negative impact of OFDI reverse technology spillovers on China′s industrial structure upgrade was significantly enhanced;after the education level of workers exceeded the second threshold,OFDI reverse technology spillover still significantly inhibits the upgrading of China′s industrial structure,but the inhibitory effect is weakened;when the technology gap with the host country is large,OFDI reverse technology spillover significantly promotes the upgrading of China′s industrial structure;when the level of economic development is lower than the threshold,the negative adjustment effect of OFDI reverse technology spillovers on China′s industrial structure upgrading is not obvious,but after reaching the threshold value,the negative adjustment effect is significantly enhanced. Therefore,China should continue to optimize the selection and location of OFDI industries,improve the absorption capacity of advanced technologies,and at the same time improve the structure of domestic R&D investment and financial technology appropriation to promote the high-quality development of nation′s financial industry.

关 键 词：OFDI 逆向技术溢出 产业结构升级 

分 类 号：F125.4[经济管理—世界经济]