我国农业总产值影响因素分析  

Analysis of Factors Influencing China’s Total Agricultural Output

作　　者：刘春芝[1] 邵馨漾 Liu Chunzhi;Shao Xinyang(College of International Business,Shenyang Normal University,Shenyang Liaoning 110034)

机构地区：[1]沈阳师范大学国际商学院,辽宁沈阳110034

出　　处：《沈阳师范大学学报（社会科学版）》2023年第2期40-46,共7页Journal of Shenyang Normal University(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：辽宁省社会科学基金重点项目(L22AJY016)。

摘　　要：农业在我国国民经济中占有基础地位,支撑着整个经济体系的运行和协调发展,促进我国农业经济高质量发展已经成为当前政府面临的一项重要任务。有必要以农业机械总动力、耕地灌溉面积、农业化肥施用量、农作物总播种面积、第一产业就业人员等指标为考量因素,建立多元线性回归预测模型,经实证检验研究发现,影响我国未来农业总产值的重要因素是农业化肥施用量和农作物总播种面积。大力推进农业绿色转型,确保农业化肥科学施用;扩大农作物播种面积,推广智慧农机应用。Agriculture occupies a fundamental position in China’s national economy and supports the operation and coordinated development of the entire economic system.Promoting the high-quality development of China’s agricultural economy has become an important task facing the government at present.Using indicators such as total agricultural machinery power,irrigated arable land area,agricultural fertilizer application,total crop sown area and primary industry employment as factors for consideration,a multiple linear regression prediction model was established and empirically tested to find that the important factors affecting China’s future total agricultural output are agricultural fertilizer application and total crop sown area.The green transformation of agriculture should be vigorously promoted to ensure the scientific application of agricultural fertilizers;the area sown with crops should be expanded and the application of intelligent agricultural machinery should be promoted.

关 键 词：农业总产值 农业化肥 农作物播种面积 多元线性回归模型 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济]