“双碳”目标下江西省旅游业碳排放效率时空特征及其影响因素  

Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of Carbon Emission Efficiency of Tourism in Jiangxi Province under the “Double Carbon” Target and Its Influencing Factors

作　　者：贾国栋 王立国[1,2,3] 张典 江国华 JIA Guo-dong;WANG Li-guo;ZHANG Dian;JIANG Guo-hua(School of Land Resources and Environment,Jiangxi Agricultural University,Nanchang 330045,China;Rural TourismDevelopment Research Centre,Jiangxi Agricultural University,Nanchang 330045,China;Nanchang Rural Tourism Development Research Centre,Nanchang330045,China)

机构地区：[1]江西农业大学国土资源与环境学院,中国南昌330045 [2]江西农业大学乡村旅游发展研究中心,中国南昌330045 [3]南昌市乡村旅游发展研究中心,中国南昌330045

出　　处：《湖南师范大学自然科学学报》2023年第1期10-19,共10页Journal of Natural Science of Hunan Normal University

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(42261038);教育部人文社科规划项目(21YJAZH085)。

摘　　要：“双碳”目标下旅游低碳转型有利于推动旅游业可持续发展,科学计算旅游业碳排放效率并分析其影响因素,对发展绿色低碳旅游具有重要意义。本文通过“自下而上”法对江西省2000—2019年旅游业能源消耗及碳排放量进行计算,运用非期望产出Super-SBM模型及Malmquist指数法对江西省旅游碳排放效率进行静态与动态分析,并利用时空地理加权回归模型分析旅游业碳排放效率影响因素的时空异质性。结果表明:(1)旅游交通、住宿、餐饮、活动及废弃物处理是江西省旅游业主要碳源,碳排放总量从56.23万t增加到516.72万t,呈持续上升状态。(2)江西省旅游业碳排放效率呈现波动发展趋势,且存在“北高南低”地带性差异。(3)江西省Malmquist指数均值为1.22,旅游业碳排放效率总体上呈持续改善状态,其动态趋势受技术进步及技术效率指数双重影响。(4)规模、结构、质量、开发创新、环境、行业技术与行业投资因素均在不同程度上对旅游业碳排放效率产生作用。The low carbon transformation of tourism under the “double carbon” target is conducive to promoting the sustainable development of tourism, and the scientific calculation of the carbon emission efficiency of tourism and the analysis of its influencing factors are of great significance to the development of green and low carbon tourism. This paper used the “bottom-up” method to calculate the energy consumption and carbon emissions of the tourism industry in Jiangxi province from 2000 to 2019. The non-expected output Super-SBM model and the Malmquist index method were employed to conduct static and dynamic analyses of the carbon emission efficiency of tourism in Jiangxi province, and a spatio-temporal geographically weighted regression model was adopted to analyze the spatio-temporal heterogeneity of factors influencing the carbon emission efficiency of the tourism industry. The results show as follows.(1) The tourism transportation, accommodation, catering, activities and waste disposal are the main sources of carbon for the tourism in Jiangxi province, with total carbon emissions increasing from 562.3 kt to 5.167 2 Mt, showing a continuous increase.(2) The carbon emission efficiency of tourism in Jiangxi province shows a fluctuating development trend, and there is a zonal difference of “high in the north and low in the south”.(3) With an average value of 1.22, the Malmquist index of Jiangxi province shows a continuous improvement in the overall carbon emission efficiency of the tourism industry, the dynamic trend of which is influenced by both technological progress and technical efficiency index.(4) Size, structure, quality, development innovation, environment, industry technology and industry investment factors all play roles, to varying degrees, in the carbon efficiency of tourism.

关 键 词：旅游业碳排放效率 影响因素 时空地理加权回归 江西省 

分 类 号：X322[环境科学与工程—环境工程] F592.7[经济管理—旅游管理]