黄河流域水资源与社会经济协同评价及影响因素分析  

Synergistic evaluation of water resources and social economy in the Yellow River Basin and analysis of influencing factors

作　　者：陈莉 张安安 CHEN Li;ZHANG An’an(School of Economics and Management,Anhui Jianzhu University,Hefei 230022,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽建筑大学经济与管理学院,安徽合肥230022

出　　处：《水资源保护》2023年第2期1-8,共8页Water Resources Protection

基　　金：国家社会科学基金后期资助项目(21FKSB048);国家社会科学基金重点项目(14AKS005);安徽省教育厅项目(皖教秘科[2015]49号)。

摘　　要：通过构建水资源与社会经济评价指标体系,计算了黄河流域的水资源与社会经济系统协同度,并运用固定效应模型分析其影响因素。结果表明:水资源与社会经济发展指数都呈显著上升趋势,社会经济增长速度高于水资源发展速度;黄河流域整体处于轻度协同状态,且水资源发展滞后于社会经济发展;山东、河南、四川、陕西的协同度较理想,内蒙古、甘肃、青海、宁夏、山西的协同度水平偏低;每10万人高等学校在校学生数、地表水资源量、水资源开发利用率、城市污水日处理能力以及技术市场成交额对协同发展存在正向影响,城镇化率对协同发展暂无显著影响。By constructing the evaluation index system of water resources and social economy,the synergy degree of water resources and social economy system in the Yellow River Basin is calculated,and the influence factors are analyzed by using the fixed effect model.The results showed that both the water resources and socio-economic development index showed a significant upward trend,and the socio-economic growth rate was higher than the water resources development rate.The whole Yellow River basin is in a slightly coordinated state,and the development of water resources lags behind the development of social economy.The synergy degree of Shandong,Henan,Sichuan and Shaanxi is ideal,while the synergy degree of Inner Mongolia,Gansu,Qinghai,Ningxia and Shanxi is low.The number of students in colleges and universities per one hundred thousand people,the amount of surface water resources,the utilization rate of water resources,the daily treatment capacity of urban sewage and the transaction amount of technology market have a positive impact on the collaborative development,while the urbanization rate has no significant impact on the collaborative development.

关 键 词：水资源 社会经济 协同度 固定效应模型 黄河流域 

分 类 号：TV213.4[水利工程—水文学及水资源]