港口物流与对外贸易关系的实证研究——以辽宁沿海主要港口城市为例  

Empirical Research on Port Logistics and Foreign Trade Relations——A Case Study of Major Port Cities along the Coast of Liaoning

作　　者：姜莉华 张丽凤[1] JIANG Lihua;ZHANG Lifeng(School of Management,Bohai University,Jinzhou 121010,China)

机构地区：[1]渤海大学管理学院,辽宁锦州121010

出　　处：《物流科技》2023年第7期67-71,共5页Logistics Sci-Tech

基　　金：辽宁省教育厅项目“基于可持续发展的辽宁港口物流资源整合研究”(LJKR0384)。

摘　　要：文章选取辽宁沿海主要港口2001—2020年进出口总值、港口货物吞吐量、集装箱吞吐量时间序列数据构建VAR模型,实证分析港口与对外贸易之间的互动关系。结果表明:辽宁沿海港口与对外贸易存在协整关系;外贸对港口货物吞吐量和集装箱吞吐量的影响比较显著;港口货物吞吐量对外贸的影响也较显著,而集装箱吞吐量对外贸的影响并不显著。The paper selects the time series data of total import and export,port cargo throughput and container throughput of major coastal ports in Liaoning from 2001 to 2020 to build a VAR model,and empirically analyzes the interaction between ports and foreign trade.The results show that there is a co-integration relationship between Liaoning coastal ports and foreign trade;the impact of foreign trade on port cargo throughput and container throughput is relatively significant;the impact of port cargo throughput on foreign trade is also significant,while the impact of container throughput is not significant.

关 键 词：港口物流 对外贸易 VAR模型 

分 类 号：U691[交通运输工程—港口、海岸及近海工程]