基于ELES模型的山东省农村居民消费结构分析  

Analysis of the Consumption Structure of Rural Residents in Shandong Province Based on the ELES Model

作　　者：封金妍 FENG Jinyan(Qufu Normal University Rizhao,Shandong 276826)

机构地区：[1]曲阜师范大学,山东日照276826

出　　处：《中国商论》2023年第6期25-29,共5页China Journal of Commerce

摘　　要：随着我国城镇化的不断深入,农民生活品质得到进一步改善,消费结构也发生了一定的改变。本文以山东省2006—2020年的统计年鉴为基础,运用ELES模型对山东省农村居民消费结构进行研究。研究发现:山东省八大类消费边际消费倾向较低,农村居民消费潜力尚待挖掘,农村居民的可支配收入占主导地位;山东省的生活用品和服务、交通通信和医疗保健的需求自价格弹性绝对值超过1,说明这几类消费品对山东省农村居民来说属于较高层次的消费。从需求价格弹性来看,医疗服务的价格弹性最大,居住、生活用品、交通通信、医疗卫生四个方面的需求收入弹性均超过1,且随可支配收入水平的提升而逐步提高。With the deepening of urbanization in China,the quality of life of farmers has been further improved,and the consumption structure has also changed to some extent.Based on the statistical yearbook of Shandong Province from 2006 to 2020,this paper uses the ELES model to study the consumption structure of rural residents in Shandong Province.The study found that the marginal propensity to consume(MPC)of the eight categories of consumption in Shandong Province is low;the consumption potential of rural residents has yet to be tapped;the disposable income of rural residents is dominant.The absolute value of the self-price elasticity of demand for household commodities and services,transportation and communication,and health care in Shandong Province exceeds one,indicating that these types of consumer commodities are higher-level consumption for rural residents in Shandong Province.From the perspective of price elasticity of demand,the price elasticity of medical services is the largest,while the income elasticity of demand in four aspects of living,daily necessities,transportation,communication and health care exceeds one,and gradually increases with the increase of disposable income.

关 键 词：山东省 农村居民 可支配收入 消费结构 ELES模型 

分 类 号：F063.2[经济管理—政治经济学]