制造业与生产性服务业协同集聚水平对流动人口迁移意愿的影响研究  

Research on the Impact of the Co-agglomeration of Manufacturing and Producer Services on Migration Willingness of Floating Population

作　　者：杨巧[1] 张航 陈星宇 Yang Qiao;Zhang Hang;Chen Xingyu

机构地区：[1]中南财经政法大学金融学院

出　　处：《投资研究》2023年第1期21-40,共20页Review of Investment Studies

基　　金：国家社科基金“人口结构变动对中国住房需求的影响测度及应对政策研究”(14CRK015);中央高校基本科研项目“住房分层、社会融合与农民工再迁移选择”(2110501)。

摘　　要：本文基于2014-2017年中国流动人口动态监测数据,从制造业与生产性服务业协同集聚水平角度考察我国285个地级市流动人口的迁移意愿。研究发现:两者的协同集聚会促进流动人口向城市迁移,协同集聚水平的影响具有城市规模上的异质性,常住人口规模100万以上城市分样本回归结果表现出更强的显著性;同时高收入、高学历人群的迁移意愿更强,但高房价会削弱意愿。为此,本文提出各地政府应优化产业结构、推动制造业与生产性服务业协同发展等建议。Based on the China Migrants Dynamic Survey 2014-2017, this paper examines the migration willingness of floating population in 285 cities in China from the perspective of the co-agglomeration of manufacturing and producer services. The results show that the co-agglomeration will promote the migration of floating people to cities. The effect of co-agglomeration has heterogeneity in city size, and the regression results of cities with more than 1 million permanent residents show stronger significance. At the same time, high-income and educated people are more willing to migrate, while the high housing price will weaken their willingness. Therefore, this paper proposes that local governments should optimize the industrial structure and promote the coordinated development of manufacturing and producer services.

关 键 词：协同集聚水平 流动人口 迁移意愿 

分 类 号：C924.2[社会学—人口学] F719F424