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作 者:李鸿 张军 LI Hong;ZHANG Jun(School of Big Data Application and Economics,Guizhou University of Finance and Economics,Guiyang 550025,China;Graduate School,Guizhou University of Finance and Economics,Guiyang 550025,China)
机构地区:[1]贵州财经大学大数据应用与经济学院,贵州贵阳550025 [2]贵州财经大学研究生院,贵州贵阳550025
出 处:《科技创新与生产力》2023年第2期1-6,共6页Sci-tech Innovation and Productivity
基 金:贵州财经大学2020年度在校学生科研资助项目(2020ZXS)。
摘 要:通过分析贸易现状可知,一是我国与不同RCEP成员国贸易总额差别较大,与贸易总额小的成员国主要是产业间贸易,与贸易总额大的成员国主要是产业内贸易;二是我国机械工业贸易主要以电机设备及其零件和机械设备为主。基于随机前沿引力模型和贸易非效率模型,运用2005—2020年中国与RCEP成员国之间的面板数据,分析中国机械工业出口的影响因素和测算的贸易效率,研究表明我国机械工业产品贸易效率总体还有很大提升空间,与个别成员国贸易效率存在很大波动;存在技术非效率因素,包括是否签订自贸协定、航空、固定宽带规模和对外直接投资,非效率因素的改善有助于提高我国机械工业贸易效率。Through the analysis of the current trade situation,we can see that,firstly,the total trade volume between China and different RCEP members is significantly different,and the members with small total trade volume are mainly inter-industry trade,and the members with large total trade volume are mainly intra-industry trade;secondly,China's machinery industry trade mainly focuses on motor equipment and its parts and mechanical equipment.Based on the stochastic frontier gravity model and the trade non-efficiency model,using the panel data between China and the RCEP members from 2005 to 2020,this paper analyzes the influencing factors of China's machinery industry exports and the measured trade efficiency,indicating that China's machinery industry product trade efficiency still has a lot of room to improve,and there is a great fluctuation in the trade efficiency with individual members;there are technical non-efficiency factors,including whether to sign free trade agreements,aviation,fixed broadband scale and foreign direct investment.The improvement of non-efficiency factors will help improve the trade efficiency of China's machinery industry.
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