Behavioral Decision-Making of Key Stakeholders in Public-Private Partnerships:A Hybrid Method and Benefit Distribution Study  

作　　者：Guoshuai Sun Wanyi Zhang Jiuying Dong Shuping Wan Jiao Feng 

机构地区：[1]School of Economics and Management,Liaoning University of Technology,Jinzhou,121001,China [2]School of Information Management,Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang,330032,China [3]Post-Doctoral Research Center,Zhongda Construction Co.,Ltd.,Guangzhou,510280,China [4]School of Science,Shanghai Institute of Technology,Shanghai,201418,China [5]School of Maritime Economics and Management,Dalian Maritime University,Dalian,116026,China

出　　处：《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》2023年第9期2895-2934,共40页工程与科学中的计算机建模（英文）

基　　金：supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.62141302);the Humanities Social Science Programming Project of the Ministry of Education of China(No.20YJA630059);the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangxi Province of China(No.20212BAB201011);the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(No.2019M662265);the Research Project of Economic and Social Development in Liaoning Province of China(No.2022lslybkt-053).

摘　　要：Public-private partnerships(PPPs)have been used by governments around the world to procure and construct infrastructural amenities.It relies on private sector expertise and funding to achieve this lofty objective.However,given the uncertainties of project management,transparency,accountability,and expropriation,this phenomenon has gained tremendous attention in recent years due to the important role it plays in curbing infrastructural deficits globally.Interestingly,the reasonable benefit distribution scheme in a PPP project is related to the behavior decisionmaking of the government and social capital,aswell as the performance of the project.In this paper,the government and social capital which are the key stakeholders of PPP projects were selected as the research objects.Based on the fuzzy expected value model and game theory,a hybrid method was adopted in this research taking into account the different risk preferences of both public entities and private parties under the fuzzy demand environment.To alleviate the problem of insufficient utilization of social capital in a PPP project,this paper seeks to grasp the relationship that exists between the benefit distribution of stakeholders,their behavioral decision-making,and project performance,given that they impact the performance of both public entities and private parties,as well as assist in maximizing the overall utility of the project.Furthermore,four game models were constructed in this study,while the expected value and opportunity-constrained programming model for optimal decision-making were derived using alternate perspectives of both centralized decision-making and decentralized decision-making.Afterward,the optimal behavioral decision-making of public entities and private parties in four scenarios was discussed and thereafter compared,which led to an ensuing discussion on the benefit distribution system under centralized decision-making.Lastly,based on an example case,the influence of different confidence levels,price,and fuzzy uncertainties of PPP p

关 键 词：PPP fuzzy expected value game theory behavioral decision-making benefit distribution hybrid method 

分 类 号：O159[理学—数学]