中美农产品贸易及农业合作前景展望——基于美国官方与智库报告的分析  

Prospects of Sino-US Agricultural Products Trade and Agricultural Cooperation—Analysis Based on American Official and Think Tank Reports

作　　者：陈秧分[1] 蒋丹婧 胡冰川[3] CHEN Yangfen;JIANG Danjing;HU Bingchuan

机构地区：[1]中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所,北京100081 [2]农业农村部农业贸易促进中心,北京100125 [3]中国社会科学院农村发展研究所,北京100732

出　　处：《世界农业》2023年第4期5-13,共9页World Agriculture

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目“RCEP对中国农业高质量发展的影响与应对战略研究”(21&ZD093);中国国外农业经济研究会2022年研究资助。

摘　　要：把握美方对于中美农产品贸易及农业合作前景的立场认知,对于推动百年变局下的中美农业经贸合作具有重要意义。本文选取美国农业部等6个典型美国官方与智库机构2018—2022年发表的研究报告,分析了美方对中美农产品贸易与农业合作现状的认知及合作展望。研究结果表明,美国官方及智库普遍认为中美贸易摩擦损害了美方农民利益。中美第一阶段经贸协议在推动中美农产品贸易中发挥了积极作用,也因“管理贸易”遭受质疑。中美农业合作符合双方共同利益,尚需克服营商环境不健全、地缘政治冲突等合作挑战,推动解决全球与双边农业领域发展面临的共同问题。立足互惠共赢的民意基础与优势互补的产业实际,建议将粮食安全与气候变化作为重点领域,以减少关税和非关税壁垒作为重点方向,以农业州等群体作为重点对象,以中美农业合作为突破口,以深入拓展国际多边合作为保障,推动百年变局下的中美农产品贸易及农业合作。It is of great significance to grasp the position of the United States on Sino-US agricultural trade and cooperation prospects for promoting Sino-US agricultural economic and trade cooperation under the momentous changes never seen in the last one hundred years.In this paper,six typical American official and think tank research reports in recent five years are selected to analyzes the US cognition and prospect under the current circumstance of Sino-US agricultural trade and cooperation.The results show that US officials and think tanks generally believe that Sino-US trade frictions have harmed the interests of US farmers.The China-US phase-one economic and trade agreement has played a positive role in promoting Sino-US agricultural trade,but it has also been questioned for its“managed trade”.Sino-US agricultural cooperation is in the common interest of both sides.But it still needs to overcome cooperation challenges such as imperfect business environment and geopolitical conflicts,and making efforts to find the solution of common problems in global and bilateral agricultural development.Considering the public opinion basis of mutual benefit and complementary advantages of industry practice,we suggest to take food security and climate change as the key areas,take reduce tariff and non-tariff barriers as the key direction,take agricultural states and other groups as the key objects,take Sino-US agricultural cooperation as the breakthrough point,and take the in-depth expansion of international multilateral cooperation as a guarantee,so as to promote Sino-US agricultural trade and cooperation under the momentous changes never seen in the last one hundred years.

关 键 词：农产品贸易 农业合作 中美关系 前景展望 智库 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济] F752.7F757.12