“四化”建设与地区碳强度减排——基于横向比较的经验证据  

“Four Modernizations”Construction and Regional Carbon Intensity Reduction:Empirical Evidence Based on Horizontal Comparison

作　　者：张恒硕 李绍萍[1] 刘洋[1] 张建华[1] ZHANG Hengshuo;LI Shaoping;LIU Yang;ZHANG Jianhua(School of Economics and Management,Northeastern Petroleum University,Daqing 163318,China)

机构地区：[1]东北石油大学经济管理学院,黑龙江大庆163318

出　　处：《华东经济管理》2023年第4期77-87,共11页East China Economic Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目“地方官员更替对高耗能企业绿色技术创新影响机理研究”(72002029);教育部人文社会科学研究项目“数字经济对区域碳排放的影响效应及作用机制研究”(22YJC790086)。

摘　　要：文章基于构建“四化”衡量指标体系,综合运用计量方法分析减排视角下“四化”建设与碳强度的解耦状态、作用机制及影响关系。研究表明:考察期内省际“四化”建设水平稳步提升,“四化”建设与碳强度的解耦状态突出表现为扩张性负解耦,且解耦演进过程中省份间存在时间及空间差异性;地区间“四化”与碳强度的关联程度呈现东部>中部>西部的现象;短期内“四化”与碳强度的动态响应较为明显,远期而言“四化”对碳强度的冲击效果逐渐减弱;新型工业化、新型城镇化、信息化和新型农业现代化对碳强度的动态影响分别呈现“N”型“、倒N”型、“U”型和“倒U”型的作用趋势。Based on the construction of the“four modernizations”measurement index system,this paper comprehensively uses the measurement method to analyze decoupling status,mechanism,and impact relationship between the“four mod⁃ernizations”construction and carbon intensity from the perspective of emission reduction.The research shows that the level of inter-provincial“four modernizations”construction has been steadily improved during the review period,and the decoupling state of“four modernizations”construction and carbon intensity is prominently manifested as expansionary negative decoupling,and there are temporal and spatial differences between provinces in the process of decoupling evolu⁃tion;the correlation between“four modernizations”and carbon intensity among regions shows the phenomenon of“east>centre>west”;in the short term,the dynamic response between“four modernizations”and carbon intensity is relatively ob⁃vious,while in the long term,the impact effect of“four modernizations”on carbon intensity is gradually weakened;the dy⁃namic impact of new industrialization,new urbanization,informatization,and new agricultural modernization on carbon in⁃tensity shows the trend of“N”,“inverted N”,“U”,and“inverted U”respectively.

关 键 词：“四化” 碳强度 解耦状态 减排机制 

分 类 号：F124.5[经济管理—世界经济] X321[环境科学与工程—环境工程]