中国与“一带一路”沿线国家产业转移的互惠共生效应研究  

Mutualism Effect of Industrial Transfer between China and the Belt and Road Countries

作　　者：刘友金[1] 周健 曾小明[1] LIU You-jin;ZHOU Jian;ZENG Xiao-ming(School of Business,Hunan University of Science and Technology)

机构地区：[1]湖南科技大学商学院

出　　处：《中国工业经济》2023年第2期55-73,共19页China Industrial Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目“共生理论视角下中国与‘一带一路’国家间产业转移模式与路径研究”(批准号17ZDA046)。

摘　　要：互惠共生是构建“人类命运共同体”的题中之义,产业转移是推进“一带一路”倡议实施的应有之策,中国与“一带一路”沿线国家产业转移能否形成双边产业的互惠共生,不仅决定了高质量共建“一带一路”的根基是否稳固,而且能够为回应某些别有用心国家对“一带一路”倡议动机的质疑提供经验证据。本文从共生关系的融合性、互动性和协调性三个方面分析中国与“一带一路”沿线国家产业转移的互惠共生效应及其作用机制,并采用2002—2020年EORA世界投入产出数据进行实证检验。研究发现:中国与“一带一路”沿线国家整体的产业互惠共生水平不断提升,但各细分行业以及地区板块间的差别较大;中国与“一带一路”沿线国家产业转移有助于促进双边产业互惠共生,这种促进作用主要是通过推进区域价值链合作和提升产业集聚水平等途径实现;中国与“一带一路”沿线国家产业转移的互惠共生效应存在地区、行业及时间段的差异,与沿线发达国家的产业转移、中高技术行业的产业转移及倡议提出之后的产业转移,其效应更显著。本文的研究为深入推进中国与“一带一路”沿线国家产业转移、构建互惠共生的区域价值链合作体系提供了重要启示。The construction and promotion of “a community with a shared future for mankind”implies the development of mutualism as the foundation while the promotion of the Belt and Road(B&R)Initiative requires industrial transfer as the essential strategy during the implementation process. Against this background,the development of mutualism of bilateral industrial transfer between China and the B&R countries has important implications. It not only serves as the robust and stable foundation for the high-quality joint development of B&R cooperation, but also provides empirical evidence to the counterargument to some ulteriorly motivated questioning on the motives of the B&R Initiative. However,there are few monographic documents that systematically and deeply study the mutualism effect and internal mechanism of industrial transfer between China and the B&R countries.This paper measures the mutualism level of bilateral industries between China and the B&R countries,from three perspectives such as integration,interaction,and coordination. The results show that although the overall mutualism level for industries between China and the B&R countries increases continuously,on a more micro scale,there remains a significant difference in mutualism levels across different industries and different regions. This paper uses the 2002—2020 EORA world input-output data,to empirically test and confirm the existence of the mutualism effect of industrial transfer between China and the B&R countries. More specifically, the identified mutualism effect demonstrates heterogeneous characteristics in different regions,industries,and periods. The mutualism effect becomes more significant for industrial transfer with developed B&R countries and the medium-and high-tech industries. It also becomes more prominent after the B&R Initiative. The mechanism test results further show that the mutualism effect caused by industrial transfer between China and the B&R countries is mainly realized through regional value chain cooperation and the improvemen

关 键 词：“一带一路” 互惠共生 全球价值链 产业转移 

分 类 号：F424[经济管理—产业经济]