探索中美战略博弈的边界  被引量:12

Exploring the Boundaries of China-US Strategic Rivalry

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作  者:吴心伯[1] WU Xinbo

机构地区:[1]复旦大学美国研究中心

出  处:《国际问题研究》2023年第2期42-57,123,124,共18页International Studies

基  金:教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大课题“中国崛起背景下的中美战略互动研究”(项目批准号:17JJDGJW002)的研究成果。

摘  要:随着拜登政府执政进入第二年,中美战略博弈更加激烈。拜登政府处理对华关系思路更明确,行动更聚焦,手段更凶狠。中国保持战略定力,顽强应对美方的遏制打压,坚定反击美方的各种挑衅,加强对美国对华政策的引导与塑造。双边关系总体上消极互动态势突出,对抗性和不确定性上升。在此背景下,迫切的任务是确定中美战略博弈的边界:在何种程度上“脱钩”,以及在多大程度上对抗。明确这个边界将为管理日趋棘手的中美关系提供有益的框架,赋予具体问题的处理以分寸感,并增加整体关系的可预测性。对中美博弈边界的探索主要有两条路径:一是通过对事件与危机的处理总结经验,二是通过政策和战略对话获得启示。这一过程将极大地考验双方的政治魄力、远见与智慧。The China-US strategic rivalry has become more intense since the Biden administration entered its second year in office.With clear thinking of its China policy,the Biden administration has concentrated more on its actions and resorted to more aggressive tactics.China has maintained its strategic resolve,tenaciously responded to US containment and suppression,and firmly countered US provocations in order to shape the US policy toward China.As confrontation and uncertainty in bilateral relations are on the rise,the urgent need for the two countries is to define the boundaries of their strategic rivalry:to what extent to decouple and to what extent to confront.It will provide a helpful framework for managing the increasingly tricky bilateral relations and handling specific issues,while injecting more certainty into the relationship.The process of exploring the boundaries,by drawing experience from past events and getting inspirations from strategic and policy dialogues,will be a great test to both sides'political courage,vision and wisdom.

关 键 词:中美关系 战略博弈 美国对华政策 

分 类 号:D822.371.2[政治法律—政治学]

 

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