“西气东输”工程建成以来中国区域能源安全测度与评价  

Measurement and Evaluation of China’s Regional Energy Security since the“West-East Gas Transmission”ProjectMeasurement and Evaluation of China's Regional Energy Security since the“West-East Gas Transmission”Project

作　　者：吴传清[1,2] 赵豪 WU Chuan-qing;ZHAO Hao(Economics and Management School of Wuhan university,Wuhan 430072,China;China Institute of Development Strategy and Planning,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China)

机构地区：[1]武汉大学中国发展与战略规划研究院,430072 [2]武汉大学经济与管理学院,430072

出　　处：《城市与环境研究》2023年第1期91-102,共12页Urban and Environmental Studies

摘　　要：能源安全是经济平稳运行的重要保障,“西气东输”工程极大缓解了中国东部地区能源供应压力。党的二十大报告提出,要深入推进能源革命,确保能源安全。本文从能源供应安全、市场安全、环境安全、经济安全四个维度构建了一套符合新时代发展要求的能源安全评价指标体系,采用层次分析法和熵权法相结合的组合赋权法对中国2004—2021年30个省级行政区(不包括港澳台及西藏)能源安全水平进行测度和评价,得出结论:第一,样本期内中国能源安全平均水平低于0.42,处于预警及一般安全状态;第二,从时序角度看,中国能源安全水平经历了“西气东输”工程提升、金融危机阻碍、能源市场波动和新时代改善四个发展阶段;第三,从空间角度看,中国省域能源安全水平呈“Y”字型分布,且从西部向东部呈递减状态。针对中国能源安全平均水平整体较低和不均衡问题,应通过制定差异化能源政策、完善能源基础设施建设和加强国际合作,确保能源安全。Energy security is an important guarantee for the smooth operation of the economy,and the“West-East Gas Transmission”project has greatly relieved the pressure of energy supply in eastern China.The report of the 20th Party Congress proposed to“promote the energy revolution in depth and ensure energy security”.This paper constructs a set of energy security evaluation index system from four dimensions:energy supply security,market security,environmental security and economy security,and uses a combination of hierarchical analysis and entropy weighting method to measure and evaluate the energy security level of 30 provinces in China from 2004 to 2021,and concludes:First,the average level of energy security in China during the sample period is below 0.42%.First,the average level of energy security in China during the sample period is below 0.42,which is in the state of early warning and general security.Third,from the spatial perspective,China’s provincial energy security level is distributed in a“Y”pattern,and decreasing from the west to the east.In view of the overall low and uneven average level of energy security in China,this paper argues that energy security should be ensured by formulating differentiated energy policies,improving energy infrastructure construction,and strengthening international cooperation.

关 键 词：西气东输 能源安全 组合赋权法 时空分异 

分 类 号：F206[经济管理—国民经济]