山东省种植业碳排放度量分析  

Measurement and Analysis of Carbon Emissions of Shandong Planting Industry

作　　者：宋宏恩 姜常宜 李树超[1] 孙兆明[1] SONG Hongen;JIANG Changyi;LI Shuchao;SUN Zhaoming(School of Economics and Management,Qingdao Agricultural University,Qingdao,Shandong 266109)

机构地区：[1]青岛农业大学经济管理学院(合作社学院),山东青岛266109

出　　处：《中国农学通报》2023年第8期43-50,共8页Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin

基　　金：玉米创新团队产业经济岗位“山东省现代农业产业技术体系”(SDAIT-02-13);山东省种粮家庭农场规模经营的结构制约、行为逻辑与优化路径研究“山东省高等学校科研发展计划项目人文社会科学一般项目”(J17RB089)。

摘　　要：农业碳排放是造成温室效应的重要原因之一,如何减少农业碳排放,怎样实现低碳农业发展是亟需解决的问题。种植业是农业的重要组成部分,减少种植业的碳排放更需重视。基于2009—2020年山东省面板数据,测算了山东省种植业碳排放情况,并进一步分析了山东省种植业碳排放时空格局,为完善山东省种植业低碳减排政策提供参考。结果显示:山东省种植业总体碳排量呈现下降态势,山东各地市农业碳排放总量空间差异明显,东南部至西北部呈现“高—低—高”的走势;山东省碳排放强度也呈现逐年下降趋势,但种植业碳排放强度与种植业碳排放量在分布格局上存在差异。因此对上述状况进行影响因素分析并得出结论:农业发展水平、农村人均收入、农业结构对种植业碳排放结构具有显著抑制作用,地区产业结构调整也表现出一定程度的抑制作用,而农业机械化水平、城镇化水平则表现出显著促进作用。Agricultural carbon emission is one of the important causes of the greenhouse effect.How to reduce agricultural carbon emissions and how to achieve low-carbon agricultural development is an urgent problem to be solved.Planting industry is a key part of agriculture,and reducing carbon emissions from planting industry requires more attention.Based on the panel data of Shandong Province from 2009 to 2020,this paper calculated carbon emissions of planting industry in Shandong Province,and analyzed the spatio-temporal pattern of carbon emissions of planting industry in the province,aiming to provide reference for improving the low-carbon and emission reduction policy of planting industry.The results showed that the overall carbon emission of planting industry in Shandong Province presented a downward trend,and the spatial differences in the total amount of agricultural carbon emissions in cities and prefectures of Shandong were obvious,and the trend of‘high—low—high’was observed from the southeast to the northwest.The carbon emission intensity of Shandong Province also showed a downward trend year by year,but there were differences in the distribution pattern between carbon emission intensity and amount of the planting industry.Therefore,the influencing factors of the above situation were analyzed,and it was concluded that the level of agricultural development,rural per capita income and agricultural structure had significant inhibitory effects on the carbon emission structure of the planting industry,and the regional industrial structure adjustment also showed a certain degree of inhibition,while the level of agricultural mechanization and urbanization showed a significant role in promoting carbon emission.

关 键 词：山东省 种植业 面板数据 农业碳排放 低碳农业 

分 类 号：F326[经济管理—产业经济] F323