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作 者:LI Hongfang WANG Jian LIU Hu MIAO Henglu LIU Jianfeng
机构地区:[1]Yinshanbeilu Grassland Eco-hydrology National Observation and Research Station,China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research,Beijing 100038,China [2]Institute of Water Resources for Pastoral Area,Ministry of Water Resources,Hohhot 010020,China [3]Inner Mongolia Hydraulic Research Institute,Hohhot 010020,China
出 处:《Journal of Arid Land》2023年第4期477-490,共14页干旱区科学(英文版)
基 金:This research was supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,China(2022QN04003);the Central Government to Guide Local Scientific and Technological Development(2021ZY0031).
摘 要:Drought,which restricts the sustainable development of agriculture,ecological health,and social economy,is affected by a variety of factors.It is widely accepted that a single variable cannot fully reflect the characteristics of drought events.Studying precipitation,reference evapotranspiration(ET_(0)),and vegetation yield can derive information to help conserve water resources in grassland ecosystems in arid and semi-arid regions.In this study,the interactions of precipitation,ET_(0),and vegetation yield in Darhan Muminggan Joint Banner(DMJB),a desert steppe in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,China were explored using two-dimensional(2D)and three-dimensional(3D)joint distribution models.Three types of Copula functions were applied to quantitatively analyze the joint distribution probability of different combinations of precipitation,ET_(0),and vegetation yield.For the precipitation–ET_(0)dry–wet type,the 2D joint distribution probability with precipitation≤245.69 mm/a or ET_(0)≥959.20 mm/a in DMJB was approximately 0.60,while the joint distribution probability with precipitation≤245.69 mm/a and ET_(0)≥959.20 mm/a was approximately 0.20.Correspondingly,the joint return period that at least one of the two events(precipitation was dry or ET_(0)was wet)occurred was 2 a,and the co-occurrence return period that both events(precipitation was dry and ET_(0)was wet)occurred was 5 a.Under this condition,the interval between dry and wet events would be short,the water supply and demand were unbalanced,and the water demand of vegetation would not be met.In addition,when precipitation remained stable and ET_(0)increased,the 3D joint distribution probability that vegetation yield would decrease due to water shortage in the precipitation–ET_(0)dry–wet years could reach up to 0.60–0.70.In future work,irrigation activities and water allocation criteria need to be implemented to increase vegetation yield and the safety of water resources in the desert steppe of Inner Mongolia.
关 键 词:PRECIPITATION reference evapotranspiration vegetation yield Copula functions desert steppe dry and wet events Inner Mongolia
分 类 号:P333[天文地球—水文科学] S812[水利工程—水文学及水资源]
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