斯里兰卡危机的演进、根源及发展趋势  

The Evolution,Causes and Development Trends of the Crisis in Sri Lanka

作　　者：孙现朴[1] 杨路 Sun Xianpu;Yang Lu

机构地区：[1]中共中央党校(国家行政学院)国际战略研究院亚洲研究所

出　　处：《印度洋经济体研究》2023年第2期82-96,154,共16页Indian Ocean Economic and Political Review

摘　　要：2022年斯里兰卡经济不断恶化并引发经济危机。随着经济危机加剧,民众走上街头,引发流血冲突和政局动荡。戈塔巴雅希望以政治妥协保留总统职位,但在反对派政党以及抗议民众的强烈冲击下,最终被迫辞职。政府经济政策放大固有问题、政治环境不稳定、国际环境急剧变化等是造成危机爆发的深刻根源。在国内局势动荡背景下,斯里兰卡危机发展有较大不确定性,呈现出经济发展远景黯淡、政局持续不稳等趋势。因斯里兰卡民族成分、经济结构等原因,加之南亚区域多边机制效能不足,危机未在区域内进行有效应对,引起国际社会关注。危机爆发后,中国在经济上利益受损,舆论上受到“债务陷阱论”“中国责任论”的压力。At the beginning of 2022,the economic situation in Sri Lanka deteriorated and developed into economic crisis.As the economic crisis intensified,people took to the streets,sparking bloodshed and political unrest,culminating in the president's resignation.The irrational economic structure,the unstable political environment,and the rapid changes of international environment are the deep root causes of this crisis.There exists great uncertainty in Sri Lanka crisis,which presents the trend of bleak economic development,political turmoil,and the interference on Sri Lanka's internal affairs by external forces.The outbreak of this crisis has caused losses to China in the economy,and squeezed China's strategic space.

关 键 词：斯里兰卡 危机 根源 趋势 

分 类 号：F135.8[经济管理—世界经济] D735.8[政治法律—政治学]