西藏旅游经济增长动力研究  

Research on the Growth Impetus of Tibet s Tourism Economy

作　　者：李嘉欣 LI Jiaxin(School of Finance and Economics,Xizang University,Lhasa 850000,China)

机构地区：[1]西藏大学财经学院,西藏拉萨850000

出　　处：《四川职业技术学院学报》2023年第2期80-85,共6页Journal of Sichuan Vocational and Technical College

摘　　要：据统计数据显示,1982年至2019年,38年来西藏旅游人数年均增长23.13%,旅游收入年均增长32.14%,如此高的增长速度让人不由得产生疑问:到底是什么动力推动西藏旅游业发展如此迅速呢?本文结合经济增长理论和现有关于旅游动力的研究,从供给侧的角度探究西藏旅游经济增长的动力因素,并运用主成分回归法对2001—2019年相关数据进行量化分析,结果表明:基础设施对西藏旅游经济增长的影响最大;接着是劳动力投入和人力资本;然后为西藏经济发展水平和旅游服务设施;而技术进步、资本、制度和旅游资源对西藏旅游经济增长的影响相对较小,并据此提出相应建议。According to statistics,from 1982 to 2019,the number of tourists in Tibet increased by an average of 23.13%per year,and tourism income increased by 32.14%per year.Such a high growth rate makes people wonder:What is the driving force for the quick development of tourism in Tibet?Based on the theory of economic growth and the existing research on tourism power,this paper explores the driving factors of tourism economic growth in Tibet from the perspective of supply side,and uses the principal component regression method to make a quantitative analysis of the relevant data from 2001 to 2019.The results show that infrastructure has the greatest impact on the growth of tourism economy in Tibet;then labor input and human capital;and then Tibet s economic development level and tourism service facilities;the influence of technological progress,capital,system and tourism resources on the growth of tourism economy in Tibet is relatively small,and corresponding suggestions are put forward accordingly.

关 键 词：西藏旅游业 旅游发展动力 LOGISTIC模型 主成分回归 

分 类 号：F592.7[经济管理—旅游管理]