沿海港口综合竞争力评价:基于云模型和博弈权重的MABAC方法  

Evaluation of Comprehensive Competitiveness of Coastal Ports:An Extended MABAC Method Based on Cloud Model and Game Weight

作　　者：刘培德[1] 潘倩 朱宝颖 王茜玉 王冬阳 LIU Peide;PAN Qian;ZHU Baoying;WANG Xiyu;WANG Dongyang(School of Management Science and Engineering,Shandong University of Finance and Economics,Jinan 250014,China)

机构地区：[1]山东财经大学管理科学与工程学院,山东济南250014

出　　处：《运筹与管理》2023年第3期50-55,共6页Operations Research and Management Science

基　　金：国家社科基金重大招标课题(19ZDA080)。

摘　　要：针对现有港口综合竞争力评价模型的局限性,提出了基于LBWM(Linguistic terms Best-Worst method, LBWM)的主观权重确定模型和CM-CRITIC(Cloud Model Criteria Importance Though Intercrieria Correlation, CM-CRITIC)的客观权重确定模型,并利用博弈模型,计算出指标的组合权重;进一步,提出了港口综合竞争力评价模型,即基于云模型的多属性边界近似区域比较(Multi-attribute Border Approximation Area Comparison, MABAC)方法,并以我国五大港口群的18个沿海港口为研究对象,对其综合竞争力进行了评价。结果表明:沿海港口以及港口群内部存在两级分化现象,其中,宁波-舟山港的综合竞争力最好,汕头港的综合竞争力相对较差,而大连港的发展最贴近样本港口的平均发展水平。为提高港口综合竞争力,政策向中小港口侧重,以减少港口以及港口群发展差异,同时发挥大港优势,建设世界一流港口。The seaward economy is the dynamic evolution of China’s national economy from land to offshore,and from offshore to deep sea.As one of the bases for the development of seaward economy,ports connect land economy and ocean economy,and provides strategic resources and stable support for the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road to enhance international competitiveness.In recent years,with the development of the economy and the change in the world transportation structure,the accurate and reasonable evaluation of the comprehensive competitiveness of ports is a fundamental issue in exploring the development of the port itself.Scientific evaluation of the comprehensive competitiveness of ports can help the port clarify the current development situation,and improve the weak links of the port development while maintaining the development of the port’s own advantages,so as to realize the improvement of the comprehensive competitiveness of the port and promote the sustainable development of the port.The current comprehensive competitiveness evaluation models of ports have disadvantages such as they cannot handle abnormal data,the weighting method cannot reflect expert information comprehensively,and the evaluation method is limited.In this context,it is of great theoretical significance and application value to improve the evaluation model of comprehensive competitiveness of ports and explore the influencing factors of comprehensive competitiveness of ports to develop port economy and promote high-quality development of ports.To break the limitation of the existing evaluation models of comprehensive competitiveness of coastal ports,firstly,this paper selects 18 ports of five port groups as sample ports and chooses 5 main indicators and 19 secondary evaluation indicators to establish a port comprehensive competitiveness evaluation index system.Then,to address the current existence of evaluation models with higher robustness to missing and anomalous data and the limitations of the model options available for solving the weight

关 键 词：港口竞争力 云模型 LBWM CM-CRITIC MABAC 

分 类 号：U658.1[交通运输工程—港口、海岸及近海工程]