黄河流域现代产业体系耦合协同水平测度及其时空演变  

Measurement and Spatio-temporal Evolution of Coupling Coordination of Modern Industrial System in the Yellow River Basin

作　　者：许卫华 张力仁 崔晶晶 赵西三[3] XU Weihua;ZHANG Liren;CUI Jingjing;ZHAO Xisan(School of Business Administration,Henan University of Economics and Law,Zhengzhou 450046,China;Hainan Provincial Key Laboratory of Ecological Civilization and Integrated Land-sea Development,Haikou 571127,China;Institute of Industrial Economics,Henan Academy of Social Sciences,Zhengzhou 450003,China)

机构地区：[1]河南财经政法大学工商管理学院,郑州450046 [2]海南省生态文明与陆海统筹发展重点实验室,海口571127 [3]河南省社会科学院工业经济研究所,郑州450003

出　　处：《地域研究与开发》2023年第2期1-6,13,共7页Areal Research and Development

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(21BJY159);河南省软科学重点项目(222400410007);河南财经政法大学华贸金融研究院2021年度项目(HYK—2021040)。

摘　　要：以党的十九大报告为基础,构建实体经济、科技创新、现代金融、人力资源四位协同发展的评价指标体系,采用耦合协同度模型对2007—2020年黄河流域现代产业体系四位耦合协同度进行测算并探索其时空演变规律。结果表明:(1)2007—2020年黄河流域现代产业体系耦合协同度呈现出波动上升趋势,但始终为初级协同状态。(2)黄河流域现代产业体系耦合协同度空间格局上表现出“上游弱、中下游强”的特征,但总体上区域差异趋于收敛。(3)黄河流域现代产业体系实体经济、科技创新、现代金融、人力资源4个子系统发展水平呈现不同变化,2020年新冠肺炎疫情造成实体经济和科技创新发展水平均有一定下滑,但现代金融和人力资源发展水平却实现韧性上升。(4)黄河流域现代产业体系各子系统的空间分布均存在区域差异,且只有现代金融子系统趋于收敛。Based on the report of the Communist Party of China’s 19th National Congress,this paper built a four-dimensional evaluation index system for the coordinated development of real economy,scientific and technological innovation,modern finance,and human resources,and adopts the coupling coordination degree model to measure the four-dimensional coupling synergy of the modern industrial system in the Yellow River Basin from 2007 to 2020 and explore its spatial and temporal evolution.The results show that:(1)From 2007 to 2020,the coupling and synergy degree of modern industrial system in the Yellow River Basin shows an upward trend of fluctuation,but remains in the primary state of coordination.(2)The spatial pattern of the coupling and synergy degree of modern industrial system in the Yellow River Basin shows the characteristics of“weak upstream and strong midstream and downstream”,but overall regional differences tend to converge.(3)The development levels of the four subsystems of the modern industrial system in the Yellow River Basin show different changes.The COVID-19 outbreak in 2020 caused a decline in the development of the real economy and technological innovation,but the development of modern finance and human resources increased.(4)In the Yellow River Basin,there are regional differences in the spatial distribution of all subsystems of modern industrial system,but only the regional differences of modern finance subsystem tend to converge.

关 键 词：现代产业体系 耦合协同度 黄河流域 

分 类 号：F121.3[经济管理—世界经济]