湖北省电力消费与经济增长关系研究及发展预测  

Research and Forecast on the Relationship between Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in Hubei Province

作　　者：王海 吉增宝 颜炯 苏宏伟 WANG Hai;JI Zeng-bao;YAN Jiong;SU Hong-wei(Hubei Anyuan Safety&Environmental Protection Technology Co.,Ltd.,Wuhan 430040,China;StateGrid Hubei Economic Research Institute,Wuhan 430077,China)

机构地区：[1]湖北安源安全环保科技有限公司,武汉430040 [2]国网湖北省电力有限公司经济技术研究院,武汉430077

出　　处：《价值工程》2023年第11期33-36,共4页Value Engineering

摘　　要：“十三五”以来,湖北加快产业结构调整和新旧动能转换,经济增长和电力消费的协调性快速调整,关系更加紧密。本文通过从多个角度分析湖北省“十三五”以来经济增长和电力消费的特点和规律,研究经济增长和电力消费的相关关系,在此基础上结合湖北省“十四五”规划目标,对“十四五”末湖北省电力消费相关指标进行预测,从而为湖北能源发展和经济发展科学决策提供重要参考和依据。根据预测结果,“十四五”期间,湖北省电力消费将保持较快增长,全社会用电量年均增速将高于GDP年均增速。With the adjustment of industrial structure and transformation of driving forces since the"13th Five Year Plan",the relationship between economic growth and electricity consumption has become more closely related.This article analyzes the characteristics and developmental trend of economic growth and electricity consumption in Hubei Province in several ways.And the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth has been studied.Based on the development indicators of the 14th Five Year Plan of Hubei Province,this article forecasts the relevant indicators of electricity consumption in Hubei Province.According to prediction,electricity consumption of Hubei Province will maintain a rapid growth during the"14th Five Year Plan"period.And the average annual growth of electricity consumption will be higher than the average annual growth of GDP.The results can provide important reference for decisions on energy and economic development.

关 键 词：电力消费 经济增长 电力消费弹性系数 预测 

分 类 号：F426[经济管理—产业经济]